POWL

Powell Industries

Q2 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-04$1.38 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Designs and manufactures custom-engineered medium-voltage switchgear, bus duct systems, and power distribution equipment — the metal-enclosed cabinets that receive high-voltage power from the grid, protect mission-critical equipment from arc flash and fault currents, and distribute electricity throughout data centers, petrochemical plants, LNG terminals, and utility substations.

Why they matter:

Every AI data center needs medium-voltage switchgear before a single server powers on. Powell's PowlVac arc-resistant switchgear is custom-engineered for each facility — you cannot order it off a shelf, lead times run 12-18 months, and a failure in service causes an arc flash explosion that can destroy a building. Data center orders are surging, with Powell booking its first $75M+ data center megaproject in Q1 FY2026.

Recent performance:

Q1 FY2026 (Dec 2025) revenue $251M (+4% YoY), EPS $3.40 (beat est. $2.94 by 16%). New orders $439M (+63% YoY), book-to-bill 1.7x. Backlog $1.6B (+16% YoY). FY2025 full year revenue $1.1B, net income $180.7M. Three-for-one stock split effective April 6, 2026. Stock ~$239 (post-split), market cap ~$8.7B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueFair

Custom switchgear maker hitting a data center inflection — first $75M+ megaproject in Q1 FY2026 with record $1.6B backlog and 1.7x book-to-bill, but at ~47x trailing P/E the stock prices in years of growth that must come from a competitive electrical equipment market.

Structural trends

Data center power density escalationhyperscaler capex accelerationLNG export terminal constructionutility grid modernizationindustrial electrification

Structural

72

/ 100

Moat

6/10

Custom-engineered switchgear with long qualification cycles and relationship moat, but Eaton/ABB/Schneider compete in the same space

AI Exp.

High

~35% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~60%

Rel. Value

36

FAIR

PriceLIVE

$234.42

+2.37%

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Market Cap

$8.5B

P/E Ratio

45.7

P/S Ratio

7.7x

52W High

$237.79

52W Low

$51.49

52W Chg

355.3%

Beta

0.82

Supply Chain Dependencies

The Catch

Powell trades at ~47x trailing P/E and ~8x price-to-sales on a business that grew revenue only 4% last quarter and is guiding low-to-mid single digit growth for FY2026. The premium is entirely forward-looking, based on a $1.6B backlog and surging data center orders that have not yet converted to accelerating revenue. If data center megaprojects prove lumpy rather than recurring, or if Eaton's 800V NVIDIA co-design captures the specification-in advantage at hyperscalers, Powell's growth premium evaporates and the stock re-rates to 20-25x P/E — a 40-50% drawdown from current levels. The company is also still 51% exposed to oil & gas and petrochemical end markets that are declining, creating a revenue transition risk if data center demand does not scale fast enough to offset legacy market softness.

If They Win

If Powell successfully captures a material share of the data center medium-voltage switchgear market — converting the Q1 megaproject win into a repeatable $400M+/year data center order stream — the company transforms from a niche specialty manufacturer into a recognized AI infrastructure play with $2B+ revenue, 30%+ gross margins, and a diversified end-market mix. At that scale, Powell either becomes the dominant independent MV switchgear specialist in North America (commanding premium pricing and a 35-45x P/E), or becomes an acquisition target for Eaton, ABB, or Schneider at 15-20x EBITDA — either path representing 2-3x upside from current levels over a 3-5 year horizon.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.