EQIX

Equinix

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-04-29$4.41 consensus

Summary

What they do:

World's largest data center REIT, owning and operating 260+ colocation and interconnection facilities across 72 metros on six continents — sitting at the outermost layer of the AI supply chain as the physical buildings where every GPU, server, and switch must live.

Why they matter:

Equinix's 500,000+ interconnections create a network effect that no competitor can replicate — customers stay because every other customer is already there — and the xScale program ($15B+ committed) is purpose-built for hyperscaler AI deployments in power-scarce markets where new entrants face 4-5 year grid queues.

Recent performance:

Q4 2025 annualized gross bookings $474M, up 42% YoY. Full year 2025 revenue ~$8.7B. 2026 guidance: revenue +9-10%, AFFO per share +8-10%. 60% of Q4's largest deals were AI-driven. REIT — FFO is the relevant earnings metric.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEstablished
Rel. ValueFair

World's largest data center REIT with a 10/10 moat from 26 years of irreplaceable interconnection density — AI exposure is high and accelerating (60% of largest deals), but the stock trades at 32-35x FFO, a 50%+ premium to peers, leaving little room for execution misses or hyperscaler self-build acceleration.

Structural trends

Hyperscaler AI capex super-cycle ($300B+ annually)power scarcity as the binding AI infrastructure constraintAI inference expanding to enterprise (near-metrolow-latency)interconnection density compounding with every new customer

Structural

88

/ 100

Moat

10/10

Network effects + physical scarcity

AI Exp.

High

~40% AI

Play Type

Established

AI Growth

~40%+

Rel. Value

38

FAIR

PriceLIVE

$1,057.37

+0.05%

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Market Cap

$104.3B

P/E Ratio

76.9

P/S Ratio

11.3x

52W High

$1,060.07

52W Low

$710.52

52W Chg

48.8%

Beta

1.00

Supply Chain Dependencies

Upstream Suppliers

VRTLOW

cooling_supplier · weight 0.7

ETNLOW

power_supplier · weight 0.7

GLWLOW

fiber_supplier · weight 0.6

EMELOW

electrical_contractor · weight 0.5

CEGMODERATE

power_generator · weight 0.5

EOSEMODERATE

storage_customer · weight 0.3

FLNCMODERATE

storage_customer · weight 0.3

STEMHIGH

energy_customer · weight 0.2

BEMODERATE

power_customer · weight 0.3

FCELHIGH

power_customer · weight 0.2

CMIMODERATE

power_customer · weight 0.4

NEEMODERATE

power_customer · weight 0.4

OKLOHIGH

power_customer · weight 0.3

SMRHIGH

power_customer · weight 0.2

GNRCMODERATE

power_customer · weight 0.3

PLUGHIGH

power_customer · weight 0.2

ABBLOW

power_customer · weight 0.6

HUBBMODERATE

electrical_customer · weight 0.4

POWLMODERATE

switchgear_customer · weight 0.4

HONMODERATE

controls_customer · weight 0.4

FLRMODERATE

construction_customer · weight 0.5

JMODERATE

construction_customer · weight 0.5

CBREHIGH

services_customer · weight 0.3

ACMMODERATE

construction_customer · weight 0.4

JLLHIGH

services_customer · weight 0.2

MTZMODERATE

construction_customer · weight 0.4

PRIMMODERATE

construction_customer · weight 0.3

PWRMODERATE

electrical_customer · weight 0.5

FIXMODERATE

mechanical_customer · weight 0.5

IESCMODERATE

electrical_customer · weight 0.4

STRLMODERATE

electrical_customer · weight 0.3

DYMODERATE

infrastructure_customer · weight 0.3

BDCMODERATE

cable_customer · weight 0.4

MODLOW

modular_customer · weight 0.5

JCIMODERATE

hvac_customer · weight 0.5

CARRMODERATE

cooling_customer · weight 0.5

TTMODERATE

cooling_customer · weight 0.5

NVTMODERATE

electrical_customer · weight 0.4

IRMODERATE

cooling_customer · weight 0.3

EQIX

The Catch

Equinix trades at a 50%+ premium to data center REIT peers on P/FFO, and while the interconnection moat justifies some of that premium, the largest AI customers — hyperscalers — are increasingly building their own data centers rather than leasing. Microsoft, Google, and Amazon already operate their own significant data center footprints and continue to expand self-builds. If hyperscalers accelerate self-build programs and reduce external colocation leasing, Equinix's AI growth narrative depends entirely on capturing the edge, interconnection, and geographic redundancy workloads that self-builds cannot replicate. That is a narrower market than the bull case assumes. Additionally, power constraints in premium markets are real, but they also incentivize hyperscalers to build in less-constrained regions where Equinix may have lower competitive advantage. REIT multiples are mechanically rate-sensitive — a sustained 10-year Treasury move above 5% compresses the stock 15-20% regardless of operational performance.

If They Win

If Equinix successfully executes the xScale program, maintains interconnection dominance as the world's most densely connected data center network, and captures a meaningful share of AI infrastructure demand alongside (not instead of) hyperscaler self-builds, they become the landlord of the AI economy — the real estate company that collects rent from every major AI infrastructure deployment on earth. 15-year xScale leases with embedded power contracts, a global footprint that no competitor can match, and an enterprise AI inference wave that plays directly to Equinix's near-metro interconnection density provide durable, high-margin cash flows for decades. EBITDA margins expand past 52% and AFFO per share compounds at 10%+ for the rest of the decade.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.