ACM

AECOM

Q2 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-11$1.57 consensus

Summary

What they do:

One of the world's largest engineering and professional services firms — provides design, engineering, construction management, and program management for data centers, infrastructure, and industrial projects, with a dedicated data center practice that grew 50% in FY2025.

Why they matter:

Hyperscalers planning $200B+ in data center capex need someone to design, engineer, and manage construction of these facilities. AECOM's 50,000+ engineers provide the integrated design-to-commissioning services that reduce schedule risk on multi-billion-dollar builds.

Recent performance:

Q1 FY2026 (ended Dec 2025) revenue $3.83B (beat $3.65B estimate), record NSR, adjusted EBITDA, and margins. Backlog up 9% to all-time high. FY2026 guidance raised: adjusted EPS $5.85-$6.05, EBITDA $1,270-$1,305M. Stock ~$86, market cap ~$11B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueCompelling

A diversified engineering giant with a fast-growing data center practice benefiting from the hyperscaler buildout, but at ~15x forward P/E the stock prices in the infrastructure cycle without yet proving that data center services become a durable high-margin franchise — an emerging play needing sustained data center backlog growth to re-rate.

Structural trends

Hyperscaler data center capex cycle ($200B+ through 2028)US infrastructure spending (Bipartisan Infrastructure Law)renewable energy engineering demanddata center power/cooling engineering complexity increasing

Structural

53

/ 100

Moat

4/10

Scale advantage on mega-projects and client relationships; talent is mobile, margins structurally low, boutiques compete

AI Exp.

Stub

~8% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~50%

Rel. Value

74

COMPELLING

PriceLIVE

$85.14

-0.19%

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Market Cap

$11.0B

P/E Ratio

18.8

P/S Ratio

0.7x

52W High

$135.52

52W Low

$82.41

52W Chg

3.3%

Beta

1.08

Supply Chain Dependencies

Upstream Suppliers

ACM

The Catch

Engineering services are a people business with structurally low margins. AECOM's operating margins (8-12%) are a fraction of what chip designers, equipment makers, or software companies earn. Even if the data center practice grows rapidly, it doesn't fundamentally change the margin profile — AECOM still needs to hire and retain expensive engineers for every project, and those engineers can leave for competitors or clients. The data center capex cycle is also inherently cyclical: hyperscalers will eventually build enough capacity, and new construction slows. When that happens, AECOM's data center practice shrinks while the fixed-cost engineering workforce creates operating leverage on the downside. Additionally, $5B in net debt at 2.8x leverage limits AECOM's ability to invest in growth or return capital to shareholders during the cycle.

If They Win

If the data center practice continues growing at 50%+ annually and becomes $1B+ in revenue by FY2028, while infrastructure spending (BIL, renewable energy) provides a steady base, AECOM transforms from a generalist engineering firm into the go-to design and program management partner for the AI infrastructure buildout — the firm hyperscalers call first when planning a new $2B data center campus. Revenue crosses $20B. EBITDA margins expand to 18%+ as higher-margin advisory and program management grow faster than labor-intensive design. Free cash flow hits $600M+, enabling debt reduction to <2x leverage and meaningful shareholder returns. The installed base of data center client relationships creates a recurring consultancy flywheel as facilities require ongoing optimization, expansion, and technology upgrades.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.