MTZ

MasTec

Summary

What they do:

One of America's largest infrastructure contractors — builds the physical structures, power systems, fiber networks, and site work that data centers, renewable energy plants, pipelines, and electrical grid expansions require. Five operating segments spanning clean energy, oil & gas, utilities, power delivery, and communications, with data center construction emerging as the fastest-growing vertical.

Why they matter:

Someone has to physically build the AI data centers. MasTec brings the cranes, the crews, and the project management to turn a cleared field into a multi-hundred-megawatt facility. Their $19B record backlog and first turnkey data center construction management win signal they're positioning to capture a material share of the $200B+ hyperscaler capex wave.

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $14.3B (+16%), Q4 ~$4B, adj EBITDA $338M in Q4 (+25% YoY), adj EPS $5.08 for the year. 18-month backlog hit $19.0B (+33% YoY). Nearly $1B in data center awards in Q4 alone. 2026 guide: $17B revenue (+19%), $8.40 adj EPS.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueFair

Infrastructure contractor riding the AI data center supercycle with a $19B record backlog and first turnkey DC win — but at 73x trailing P/E on a thin-margin construction business, the stock prices in perfect execution with no margin for error.

Structural trends

Hyperscaler data center capex wave ($200B+ through 2028)grid modernization and electrificationrenewable energy buildout (IRA tailwind)US reshoring of critical infrastructure

Structural

49

/ 100

Moat

3/10

Equipment fleet + execution track record + early DC relationships

AI Exp.

Stub

~7% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~35%+

Rel. Value

36

FAIR

PriceLIVE

$365.89

+0.09%

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Market Cap

$28.9B

P/E Ratio

71.9

P/S Ratio

2.0x

52W High

$371.62

52W Low

$109.68

52W Chg

233.6%

Beta

1.80

Supply Chain Dependencies

The Catch

MasTec is a construction contractor trading at a technology multiple. At 73x trailing P/E (44x forward), the stock prices in a transformation from cyclical infrastructure contractor to secular AI infrastructure beneficiary — but the underlying business model hasn't changed. Margins are thin (6–8% operating), labor inflation is persistent and structural, and fixed-price contracts mean cost overruns come directly out of earnings. The $19B backlog is impressive but it's backlog, not revenue — execution risk is real and compounding across hundreds of simultaneous projects. Data center construction is also not proprietary — Quanta Services, Primoris, Fluor, and Bechtel all compete for the same hyperscaler projects. If even one major project goes sideways at current valuations, the stock has 30%+ downside. The 237% run from $110 to $370 over the past year has priced in the supercycle thesis; what remains is execution risk at premium prices.

If They Win

If MasTec successfully scales its data center construction capability from $1B to $3–4B in annual revenue, while maintaining or expanding margins through pricing power and operational efficiency, the company becomes the general contractor of the AI economy — the firm hyperscalers call when they need another 200-megawatt facility built in 18 months. Clean energy and grid modernization provide a $10B+ revenue floor. Data center construction adds a $3–4B high-visibility growth layer. Total revenue approaches $20B+ by 2028. Operating margins expand toward 8–9% as scale absorbs overhead and data center mix improves profitability. The Mas family's multi-generational management continuity provides strategic consistency. MasTec becomes the physical infrastructure counterpart to the digital AI build — not glamorous, but indispensable.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.