PRIM

Primoris Services

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-04$0.86 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Specialty infrastructure contractor operating through Utilities and Energy segments — installs and maintains natural gas distribution, electric utility transmission and distribution, communications systems, and provides engineering/construction for solar, gas-fired power, industrial facilities, and increasingly data centers, including site preparation, power generation, and fiber network construction.

Why they matter:

As hyperscalers commit hundreds of billions to data center construction, they need contractors who can build the physical plant — the concrete, steel, electrical, and power infrastructure. Primoris is executing engineering services on three phases of the Stargate data center campus in Texas (a $6B initiative tied to OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank) and is pursuing $1.7B+ in additional data center contracts. The company's bonding capacity, utility-scale construction expertise, and existing relationships with power providers position it to capture a growing share of this spend.

Recent performance:

Full year 2025 revenue $7.6B, up 19% YoY. Net income $274.9M, or $5.02 per diluted share, up 52%. Adjusted EPS $5.62. Total backlog $11.9B, including $7.0B in MSA backlog (up 20.6%). Q4 2025 revenue ~$1.9B, adjusted EPS $1.08. FY2026 guidance: EPS $5.35-$5.55, adjusted EPS $5.80-$6.00, adjusted EBITDA $560-$580M. Stock ~$165, market cap ~$9B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueAttractive

A diversified specialty contractor riding record backlog and 19% revenue growth into an expanding data center construction cycle, but data centers remain under 10% of revenue, gross margins are thin (9-11%), and at ~28x forward the stock already prices in the infrastructure supercycle.

Structural trends

Hyperscaler data center capex cycle ($200B+ through 2028)grid modernization and utility spending accelerationrenewable energy buildoutpower generation demand from AI infrastructureStargate and similar mega-campus projects creating multi-year construction pipelines

Structural

53

/ 100

Moat

4/10

Bonding capacity + skilled labor + utility relationships; narrow but real

AI Exp.

Stub

~8% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~50%

Rel. Value

58

ATTRACTIVE

PriceLIVE

$166.23

+1.42%

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Market Cap

$9.0B

P/E Ratio

32.7

P/S Ratio

1.2x

52W High

$174.43

52W Low

$53.13

52W Chg

212.9%

Beta

1.39

Supply Chain Dependencies

Upstream Suppliers

PRIM

The Catch

Primoris is a construction company. Construction companies have thin margins, project execution risk, labor intensity, and cyclicality. The 2025 story illustrates this perfectly — record revenue and 19% growth, yet H2 gross margins compressed because of bad soil conditions on a few renewables projects. One problematic project can erase the margin on several good ones. Data center construction is subject to the same dynamics: unexpected site conditions, supply chain delays on electrical equipment, labor availability, and weather. The company's gross margin has ranged from 9.4% to 14.1% across quarters in 2025 — that volatility is structural, not aberrational. At ~28x forward earnings, the stock is priced like a technology company but operates like a construction company. Quanta Services has a $39B backlog, 68,000+ workers, and deeper capabilities — PRIM is competing for the same data center projects with fewer resources. The $1.7B data center pipeline is a pipeline, not a backlog — conversion is uncertain. And the broader infrastructure spending cycle, while supported by structural demand, is sensitive to interest rates, permitting delays, and hyperscaler capex timing. If hyperscalers pause or slow their buildout, the construction layer feels it immediately and with no recurring revenue cushion.

If They Win

If Primoris converts the data center pipeline into sustained, recurring construction revenue, if the Stargate execution opens doors to additional hyperscaler mega-campus projects, and if the PLH Group + PayneCrest acquisitions create a genuinely differentiated bundled offering (site prep + power generation + electrical + utility interconnection + fiber) that competitors cannot easily replicate, Primoris becomes one of a small number of contractors capable of building the complete physical infrastructure for the AI era. Data center revenue grows from under 10% to 25%+ of total over five years. The recurring utility MSA base ($7B+ backlog) provides stability while data center projects provide growth. Margins improve as the company moves up the value chain from commodity earthwork to integrated infrastructure services. EPS compounds at 15-20% annually through 2030. The stock re-rates from construction multiples (15-20x) to infrastructure platform multiples (25-30x). But this requires flawless execution on the hardest kind of work — large, complex, fixed-price construction projects — for years running.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.