FLR

Fluor Corporation

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-08$0.62 consensus

Summary

What they do:

One of the world's largest EPC (Engineering, Procurement, Construction) contractors — designs and builds hyperscale data center campuses, energy facilities, and government infrastructure, managing the full process from site engineering through commissioning for $500M-$1B+ per facility.

Why they matter:

Hyperscalers announcing $200B+ in AI capex need firms that can convert that money into physical buildings meeting extreme power/cooling specifications. Fluor is one of roughly 10 global EPC firms with the scale and expertise to deliver hyperscale data centers on compressed timelines.

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $15.5B, GAAP net loss $51M, adjusted EBITDA $504M. Ending backlog $25.5B (81% reimbursable). NuScale share monetization generating $1.35B in Q1 2026. FY2026 guidance: adjusted EBITDA $525-$585M. Stock ~$49, market cap ~$7B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueAttractive

A turnaround EPC contractor riding the data center construction wave but still recovering from years of project losses, with a $25.5B backlog providing revenue visibility but GAAP profitability still unproven at scale — an emerging play where execution risk is the primary investment variable, not demand.

Structural trends

Hyperscaler data center capex cycle ($200B+ through 2028)energy infrastructure buildout (LNGnuclearrenewables)government infrastructure spendingmodular/prefabricated construction adoption

Structural

50

/ 100

Moat

4/10

Scale and mega-project experience; EPC contracting is competitive, margins thin, recent project losses damaged brand

AI Exp.

Stub

~7% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~30%

Rel. Value

51

ATTRACTIVE

PriceLIVE

$49.27

-0.59%

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Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E Ratio

N/A

P/S Ratio

0.5x

52W High

$57.50

52W Low

$32.45

52W Chg

51.8%

Beta

1.30

Supply Chain Dependencies

The Catch

EPC contracting is a business where one bad project can wipe out a year of earnings. Fluor's 2019-2023 experience — multiple fixed-price project losses, management turnover, stock decline from $60 to $15 — is a recent reminder that scale and reputation don't protect against execution failure. The shift to 81% reimbursable contracts reduces this risk but doesn't eliminate it. Reimbursable contracts still carry cost overrun risk on the contractor's side (scope creep, labor productivity), and the margins are even thinner than fixed-price when things go right (3-4% net vs. 5-7% on a well-executed fixed-price project). Meanwhile, the data center construction market is becoming more competitive as specialty contractors (DPR, Holder) and electrical contractors (DY, IESC) move up the value chain, potentially squeezing Fluor's share of the highest-growth segment.

If They Win

If Fluor's turnaround holds and the company wins a significant share of hyperscaler data center EPC contracts, it transforms from a recovering legacy contractor into the go-to builder for AI infrastructure — the firm hyperscalers call when they need a 100MW campus operational in 15 months. Revenue grows to $20B+ by FY2028. The reimbursable contract mix enables steady 4-5% net margins without catastrophic project risk. NuScale proceeds fund buybacks and dividends, and the balance sheet moves to net cash. The stock re-rates from 14x to 20x EBITDA as investors gain confidence in the durability of the construction cycle and the quality of the backlog. And the energy transition (LNG, nuclear, renewables) provides a secular demand floor beneath the cyclical data center wave.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.