OKLO
Oklo
Summary
What they do:
Develop the Aurora powerhouse — a compact, fast-fission nuclear reactor designed to produce 15–75 MWe of carbon-free baseload power — targeting deployment at or near data center sites and industrial facilities, with fuel recycling capability that enables 10+ year refueling cycles.
Why they matter:
AI data center power demand is outstripping grid capacity, and Oklo is building the most hyperscaler-aligned nuclear option: a 14+ GW customer pipeline anchored by the 12 GW Switch deal and a 1.2 GW Meta agreement with upfront capital commitments. Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO) is chairman — the company sits at the intersection of AI demand and nuclear supply by design.
Recent performance:
Pre-revenue. Q4 2025 EPS -$0.27 (missed consensus of -$0.17). Full year 2025 operating loss ~$139M. Cash position $2.5B after raising $1.18B in January 2026. Stock price ~$66 (April 2026), market cap ~$11.6B. 52-week range $19.89–$193.84.
Our Verdict
Sam Altman-backed SMR developer with 15 GW signed LOIs and a recycled fuel strategy — visionary positioning but pre-revenue, pre-NRC-license, and years from first power. The AI-nuclear narrative stock.
Structural trends
Structural
63
/ 100
Moat
4/10
Strong LOI pipeline and fuel recycling IP, but no NRC license, no operating reactor, and multiple SMR competitors — narrative leads reality
AI Exp.AI Exposure
Pure Play~80% AI
Play Type
SpeculativeAI Growth
~0%
Rel. Value
64
ATTRACTIVEPriceLIVE
$58.58
+8.60%
Live via Yahoo Finance · refreshes every 5 min
Market Cap
$10.2B
P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
N/A
52W High
$193.84
52W Low
$19.89
52W Chg
194.5%
Beta
0.94
A data center running a large AI training cluster consumes 50–100 MW of continuous power. The grid in most US hubs cannot deliver that reliably, and renewables plus batteries cannot provide 24/7 baseload at that density. Oklo's thesis is that compact nuclear reactors solve this problem directly.
The Aurora powerhouse is a liquid metal-cooled fast reactor. It uses metallic fuel with high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU, 19.9% enriched U-235) and is designed for 10+ year refueling cycles. The original design started at 1.5 MWe; Oklo has since scaled it to 15–75 MWe per unit to meet data center demand. Multiple units can be co-located to serve larger campuses.
Oklo's current operational focus is the Aurora-INL project at Idaho National Laboratory, part of the DOE Reactor Pilot Program. This demonstration reactor operates under DOE authorization — a parallel pathway that avoids the multi-year NRC licensing bottleneck for the first unit. Nuclear heat production is targeted for 2028. Separately, Oklo completed the NRC's pre-application readiness assessment for Phase 1 of its Combined Construction and Operating License Application (COLA), with no significant gaps identified. The NRC accepted Oklo's Principal Design Criteria topical report in 15 days (vs. typical 30–60 days), and a draft evaluation was expected in early 2026.
On the commercial side, Oklo has assembled a pipeline that dwarfs its current capacity to deliver. The 12 GW non-binding Master Power Agreement with Switch (through 2044) is one of the largest corporate clean power agreements ever signed. In January 2026, Oklo and Meta announced an agreement for a 1.2 GW nuclear power campus in Pike County, Ohio — with Meta providing upfront capital commitments for fuel and Phase 1 development, targeting first power as early as 2030 and full 1.2 GW by 2034. Additional partnerships bring the total pipeline to approximately 14+ GW.
The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. As of April 2026, Oklo has approximately 173.6 million shares outstanding, trades on the NYSE, and holds $2.5B in cash following a $1.18B raise in January 2026.
Supply Chain Dependencies
Upstream Suppliers
Downstream Customers
The Catch
Oklo is priced for a future that requires everything to go right. At $11.6B market cap with zero revenue, the stock embeds successful reactor demonstration (2028), NRC licensing (2029–2030), commercial deployment (2030+), HALEU fuel supply at scale, and hyperscaler adoption at the prices Oklo needs to be profitable. Each of these is a genuine technical and regulatory risk. The NRC already rejected Oklo once in 2022. Nuclear construction projects globally have a well-documented history of multi-year delays and cost overruns (Vogtle Units 3 & 4 came in 7 years late and $17B over budget). The HALEU fuel supply chain does not exist at commercial scale in the US. The 12 GW Switch deal is non-binding. And the competitive landscape includes NuScale (NRC-certified design), Kairos Power (backed by Google), and X-energy — any of which could reach market first. Oklo's $2.5B cash position provides 4–5 years of runway at guided burn rates, but not enough to reach commercial operations without additional capital raises. The fundamental question is not whether nuclear power for data centers makes sense — it does — but whether Oklo specifically will be the company that delivers it, on time and at cost.
If They Win
If Aurora-INL achieves nuclear heat in 2028, the NRC grants a commercial license by 2030, and Meta Pike County Phase 1 delivers power on schedule, Oklo becomes the nuclear power plant of the AI economy. The 14+ GW pipeline — anchored by Switch and Meta — begins converting to funded construction. Factory production of Aurora units drives costs down learning curves. The closed fuel cycle with HALEU recycling creates a structural advantage competitors cannot replicate without a decade of development. Oklo's first-mover position in nuclear-for-data-centers, combined with DOE support and hyperscaler capital commitments, builds a moat that widens with each deployed unit. Revenue scales from zero to billions over 2030–2035. The company that today burns $30M per quarter becomes the baseload backbone of the AI infrastructure stack — and the $11.6B market cap looks cheap in retrospect. That is the bull case. It requires flawless execution across nuclear engineering, federal regulation, fuel supply, and customer conversion — a combination the nuclear industry has rarely delivered.
Others in Generate the Power
Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.