American Tower Corporation (AMT) | The Buildout — AI Infrastructure
The Verdict
American Tower owns communications towers and leases space on them to wireless carriers, broadcasters, and government agencies. It also owns and operates data center facilities in the United States through CoreSite, which houses the networking and compute that AI and cloud workloads depend on. The company sits between carriers that need sites for their networks and enterprises and cloud providers that need interconnection-rich space.
| Market Cap | — |
| Revenue (TTM) | $10.9B |
| Revenue Growth | +6.7% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 63.5% |
| Net Debt | $43.2B |
| Earnings Beats | 6 of 7 |
| P/E (TTM) | — |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | — |
What We Like
- CoreSite is the fast-growing piece: FY2026 data center revenue growth guidance was raised to about 15% from about 13%, and Q2 2026 CoreSite new leasing topped all of 2021.
- Management says 9 of the top 10 AI companies and 3 of the top 5 neo clouds are deployed in CoreSite facilities.
- CoreSite megawatts in service have grown 1.5x since the 2021 acquisition, and the development pipeline provides a clear path to nearly triple capacity from here.
- Tower cash EBITDA margins expanded more than 300 bps over the past three years; management targets another 200–300 bps by 2030.
- Leverage was 4.9x, inside the 3–5x target, and the company aims to pay out 100% of REIT taxable income — about $3.3B in 2026, roughly 5% growth.
What We’re Watching
- CoreSite cash revenue growth slowed to about 12% in Q2 2026 from about 17% in Q1; reaching the raised ~15% full-year guide needs back-half acceleration.
- Debt refinancing is now a ~150 bps headwind to 2026 AFFO/share growth, up from ~100 bps.
- DISH churn is a ~400 bps headwind to 2026 AFFO/share growth, and litigation is ongoing with equipment still on towers.
- Services revenue steps down from $340M in 2025 to the $245M guided for 2026, about a 100 bps AFFO/share headwind.
The directional change in the business is inside CoreSite, not the tower portfolio. Towers are steady: consolidated organic tenant billings growth was nearly 2% in Q2 2026, or about 4% excluding DISH churn, and management describes carriers as being in a steady investment phase. Guidance has been raised twice in 2026, but both raises leaned on FX and one-time items, and core organic growth was reiterated rather than raised. The open question is whether the 2026 AFFO/share trough and 2027 inflection arrive, and whether CoreSite grows into a large enough share of consolidated results to be visible.
Earnings Beat
Revenue was $2,749M in the June 2026 quarter, with gross margin of 73.0% and EBITDA of $1,783M at a 64.9% margin. Consolidated property revenue grew over 5% year over year excluding noncash straight-line and FX, and organic tenant billings growth was nearly 2%, or about 4% excluding DISH churn. Data center cash revenue grew roughly 12%, and management called it another record quarter of CoreSite new leasing.
| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | Q1 FY2026 | Q2 FY2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.7B | $2.7B | $2.6B | +4.7% |
| Gross margin | 73.0% | 73.9% | 73.8% | -80bps |
| EBITDA | $1.8B | $1.7B | $1.7B | +4.4% |
| EPS | $1.86 | $1.79 | $0.78 | +137.6% |
| Data center cash revenue growth | ~12% | ~17% | n/a | — |
We believe this year represents a trough for attributable AFFO per share growth, as these headwinds ease heading into 2027… return to our long-term expectation of AFFO per share growth in the mid- to high single-digit range.— Rod, Q2 2026 earnings call, 2026-07-28
Management tone: Management raised full-year 2026 guidance for the second time this year and described the data center outlook as "a significant acceleration versus our prior outlook of 13% growth." They added detail on CoreSite record leasing and the AI and neo-cloud tenants deployed in its facilities, while also raising the debt refinancing headwind to about 150 bps from about 100 bps.
Management Guidance
Management raised FY2026 property revenue by $110M at midpoint, adjusted EBITDA by $45M, and attributable AFFO per share by $0.09, the second raise this year. The property revenue raise included about $35M of FX, about $25M of data center outperformance, and about $65M from other items including pass-through and straight-line revenue, partly offset by about $15M from the Philippines and Bangladesh divestitures. The adjusted EBITDA raise included about $35M of one-time benefits, primarily a Latin America indirect tax recovery. The revised outlook implies nearly 4% property revenue growth, over 2% adjusted EBITDA growth, and about 3% AFFO/share growth, before normalizing for DISH churn and refinancing costs.
Trajectory
Consolidated revenue has been roughly flat for four quarters: $2,717M, $2,738M, $2,738M and $2,749M. The growth is coming from data centers while the larger tower business stays steady. Gross margin compressed about 210 bps over that stretch, with operating and EBITDA margins roughly flat. Reported margin pressure reflects DISH churn; excluding DISH churn, cash adjusted EBITDA margin expanded about 30 bps in Q2 2026.
The Model
The model projects FY+1 revenue of $11,030M with EBITDA of $7,081M (64.2% margin), and FY+2 revenue of $11,771M with EBITDA of $7,651M (65.0% margin). The near-term anchor is the raised FY2026 guidance and the expected roll-off of the DISH churn, refinancing and services headwinds. FY+2 depends on whether CoreSite keeps compounding at double digits and whether tower organic growth inflects as the 2027 spectrum cycle begins.
| Metric | FY2025 | Next FY (E) | Following FY (E) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.6B | $11.0B | $11.8B |
| YoY Growth | — | +3.6% | +6.7% |
| EBITDA | $6.9B | $7.1B | $7.7B |
| EBITDA Margin | 65.2% | 64.2% | 65.0% |
Projections are the median of 5 independent model runs.
Management raised FY2026 property revenue by $110M at midpoint, adjusted EBITDA by $45M, and attributable AFFO per share by $0.09, the second raise this year. The property revenue raise included about $35M of FX, about $25M of data center outperformance, and about $65M from other items including pass-through and straight-line revenue, partly offset by about $15M from the Philippines and Bangladesh divestitures. The adjusted EBITDA raise included about $35M of one-time benefits, primarily a Latin America indirect tax recovery. The revised outlook implies nearly 4% property revenue growth, over 2% adjusted EBITDA growth, and about 3% AFFO/share growth, before normalizing for DISH churn and refinancing costs.
What Could Go Right — and Wrong
- U.S. carrier densification lifts new-business contribution above the roughly 250 bps seen in 2026.
- CoreSite data center revenue growth is raised again beyond the roughly 15% FY2026 guide.
- DISH litigation resolves and any recovery adds incremental revenue beyond guidance.
- Latin America returns to positive organic tenant billings growth in 2027, as management expects.
- Higher-margin data center revenue becomes a larger share of the mix, lifting consolidated EBITDA.
- U.S. carrier spending fails to inflect: management describes carriers as being in a steady investment phase, and any AI-driven densification is not in current guidance.
- CoreSite pre-leasing stays deliberately low, and power or equipment constraints delay conversion of development capacity into revenue.
- Interest rates stay high and the debt refinancing drag persists beyond 2026.
- DISH litigation goes adversely or the churn drag lasts longer than the guidance assumes.
- Latin America churn worsens or the expected 2027 recovery slips.
Looking Ahead
Over the next 12 months the key tests are whether CoreSite revenue growth reaccelerates to meet the raised ~15% full-year guide, whether DISH churn and refinancing headwinds roll off as management expects, and whether Latin America returns to positive organic tenant billings growth. Management frames 2026 as the AFFO/share trough and 2027 as the inflection year, targeting long-term AFFO/share growth in the mid- to high single digits. The services business eases from $340M in 2025 toward the $245M guided for 2026.
- Q3 2026Stonepeak note converts — CoreSite ownership moves to about 64% / 36%; no material AFFO difference expected.
- H2 2026Services revenue step-down — Services revenue eases from $340M in 2025 toward the $245M 2026 guide.
- FY2026Full-year results — Tests the raised ~15% data center guide and ~1% organic billings outlook.
- 2027Upper C-band spectrum — The first of roughly 800 MHz of new mobile spectrum reaches carriers.
- 2027AFFO/share inflection — Management targets mid- to high single-digit AFFO/share growth from a 2026 trough.
- By 2030Tower margin expansion — Management targets another 200–300 bps of tower cash EBITDA margin.
Financials
Annual Summary
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.8B | $10.6B | $10.9B | -1.5% |
| Gross Margin | 73.1% | 73.7% | 73.2% | +60bps |
| EBITDA | $6.9B | $6.9B | $6.9B | +1.1% |
| EBITDA Margin | 63.5% | 65.2% | 63.5% | +167bps |
| Net Income | $2.3B | $2.5B | $3.4B | +12.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | $3.8B | $4.0B | — |
| Net Cash | — | — | — | — |
Key Ratios (Trailing)
- P/E TTM—
- EV/EBITDA TTM—
- EV/Revenue TTM—
- Price/FCF TTM—
- Gross Margin (TTM)73.2%
- EBITDA Margin (TTM)63.5%
- Net Margin (TTM)30.9%
- ROIC8.2%
- FCF Conversion57.0%
- SBC / Revenue1.5%
The Company
American Tower owns, operates and develops multitenant communications real estate, leasing space on communications sites to wireless service providers, broadcasters, wireless data providers and government agencies. As of March 31, 2026 it owned 131,726 communications towers and operated another 17,224, plus 858 owned DAS sites. Through CoreSite it also owns and operates 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, about 3.8 million net rentable square feet, and it provides tower-related services in the United States.
The company reports by region — U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Africa & APAC and Europe — alongside the Data Centers and Services businesses. It has been rotating toward developed markets, targeting about 85% of discretionary capital there, and in Q2 2026 it completed the sale of its Philippines and Bangladesh operations, exiting the APAC region. Leverage was 4.9x, inside its 3–5x target range.
Business Segments
Competitive Landscape
American Tower's 10-K names tower competitors Crown Castle International Corp., SBA Communications Corporation, Vertical Bridge, Telesites S.A.B. de C.V. and Cellnex Telecom, S.A. The supply-chain wiring source also maps data center competitors Digital Realty Trust and Equinix, and competitor Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, though those carry lower confidence. Management describes the company as "one of the largest global real estate investment trusts and a leading independent owner, operator and developer of multitenant communications real estate."
- Crown Castle International Corp.Named in AMT's 10-K; not discussed.
- SBA Communications CorporationNamed in AMT's 10-K; management declined to comment on SBA take-private rumors on the Q1 2026 call.
- Vertical BridgeNamed in AMT's 10-K; not discussed.
- Telesites S.A.B. de C.V.Named in AMT's 10-K; not discussed.
- Cellnex Telecom, S.A.Named in AMT's 10-K; not discussed.
Supply Chain
American Tower buys steel tower structures, power and cooling equipment, and data center gear, and leases sites to wireless carriers and data center tenants. No supplier or cloud neighbor transcript names AMT, so the read-through is triangulation.
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