IR

Ingersoll Rand

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-04-28$0.76 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Manufacture industrial compressors, pumps, and flow control systems across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services (ITS, ~80% of revenue) and Precision and Science Technologies (PST, ~20%) — serving manufacturing, mining, oil/gas, food & beverage, and, increasingly, data center cooling infrastructure.

Why they matter:

As data centers shift to liquid cooling for AI workloads, demand grows for the specialized pumps, compressors, and fluid management systems IR builds. Their PST segment (ARO, Milton Roy, Haskel brands) supplies coolant distribution pumps and precision flow control for high-density compute racks. But data center is an estimated 8-12% of total revenue — IR is overwhelmingly an industrial company.

Recent performance:

Q4 2025 revenue $2.09B, up 10% YoY. Full year 2025 revenue ~$7.7B. Adjusted EPS $0.96 in Q4, beating consensus. Adjusted EBITDA margin 27.7%. Stock at ~$84, down from 52-week high of ~$101. Market cap ~$34B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEstablished
Rel. ValueCompelling

Diversified industrial with modest data center exposure through pumps and compressors — quality compounder but AI is 8-12% of revenue, making this a stub play best suited for industrial-first investors who want marginal AI optionality.

Structural trends

Liquid cooling adoption in data centersindustrial automation recoveryhyperscaler capex expansionM&A-driven portfolio reshaping

Structural

55

/ 100

Moat

4/10

Industrial scale + distribution

AI Exp.

Stub

~10% AI

Play Type

Established

AI Growth

10-15%

Rel. Value

71

COMPELLING

PriceLIVE

$88.32

+0.72%

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Market Cap

$34.9B

P/E Ratio

60.5

P/S Ratio

4.6x

52W High

$100.96

52W Low

$68.97

52W Chg

28.1%

Beta

1.33

Supply Chain Dependencies

Upstream Suppliers

IR

The Catch

IR is the wrong stock for an AI infrastructure portfolio. The data center thesis is real — liquid cooling adoption does drive demand for pumps and compressors, and IR makes those products. But at 8-12% of a $7.7B revenue base, data center represents $600-900M of a business that trades at 50x trailing earnings. An investor buying IR for AI exposure is paying $34 billion for roughly $750 million of data center-relevant revenue. For perspective, Vertiv generates $7.8B of revenue almost entirely from data center infrastructure and trades at a similar market cap.

If They Win

If IR executes a series of targeted acquisitions in data center thermal management — buying 2-3 specialized liquid cooling pump or coolant distribution companies — and if those acquired businesses grow 20-30% annually on hyperscaler demand, IR could shift from "industrial company with data center optionality" to "infrastructure conglomerate with a meaningful cooling division." Revenue mix shifts from 8-12% data center to 15-20%. The PST segment, already running at 30% EBITDA margins, becomes a structural growth engine. IR gets re-rated from industrial compounder (18-22x P/E) to data center infrastructure play (30-35x P/E). Stock moves from $84 to $120+. But this requires management to explicitly pivot acquisition strategy toward data center thermal — a signal they have not yet given.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.