SMR

NuScale Power

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-07$-0.13 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Design and license small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) — the only company with two NRC-certified SMR designs (50 MWe and uprated 77 MWe VOYGR modules) — targeting utility-scale and data center baseload power generation.

Why they matter:

NuScale holds a singular regulatory moat as the only SMR developer with NRC design certification, positioning it as the closest-to-deployment modular nuclear option in the US at a time when AI data centers are desperate for 24/7 carbon-free power.

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $31.5M (down 15% YoY). Net loss ~$660M (inflated by $507M ENTRA1 milestone payment). Cash position $1.3B after $750M ATM raise in Q4 2025. Stock ~$13, down ~77% from 52-week high of $57 amid ENTRA1 controversy and securities fraud class action filings. Market cap ~$4B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeSpeculative
Rel. ValuePremium

Only NRC-certified SMR design gives NuScale a real regulatory moat, but the ENTRA1 commercialization partner controversy, $660M net loss, and zero deployed reactors make this a speculative bet on nuclear renaissance — Romania RoPower is the credibility test.

Structural trends

AI data center power demand outstripping grid capacitybipartisan US nuclear policy supportglobal decarbonization mandates driving nuclear renaissanceDOE funding acceleration for SMR deploymenthyperscaler willingness to sign long-term nuclear PPAs

Structural

64

/ 100

Moat

5/10

Only NRC-certified SMR design, but no deployed reactor, CFPP cancelled, ENTRA1 credibility damage

AI Exp.

Pure Play

~70% AI

Play Type

Speculative

AI Growth

~0%

Rel. Value

25

PREMIUM

PriceLIVE

$10.25

+6.99%

Live via Yahoo Finance · refreshes every 5 min

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E Ratio

N/A

P/S Ratio

103.7x

52W High

$57.42

52W Low

$8.85

52W Chg

15.8%

Beta

2.28

The Catch

NuScale's core problem is the gap between regulatory achievement and commercial execution. The company holds a genuinely valuable asset — the only NRC-certified SMR design in the world — but has demonstrated an inability to convert that asset into binding customer commitments or deployed reactors. The CFPP cancellation in 2023 showed the technology is not yet cost-competitive. The ENTRA1 partnership, which was supposed to solve the commercialization problem, has instead created a credibility crisis: a $507M payment to a partner that Wall Street analysts describe as a shell entity, followed by securities fraud litigation that has cratered the stock 77% from its high. The 341% share dilution over three years, with a request to double authorized shares, signals that existing shareholders will continue to be diluted to fund a company that is years from meaningful revenue. Romania is the one credible deployment pathway, but it is an international project dependent on Fluor's execution, Romanian government support, and EU regulatory processes — none of which NuScale controls. Every other pipeline item runs through ENTRA1. Until NuScale signs a binding contract directly with a creditworthy US customer, the commercialization thesis is unproven and the regulatory moat is an asset without a business model.

If They Win

If Romania RoPower breaks ground and proceeds to completion, NuScale proves that a factory-fabricated SMR can be built on time and on budget — the single most important validation in the history of modular nuclear. If the ENTRA1 controversy resolves and the TVA 6 GW program converts to funded construction, NuScale becomes the backbone of a US nuclear renaissance powered by AI data center demand. The 77 MWe module, NRC-certified and production-ready, becomes the default choice for utilities and hyperscalers who need reliable carbon-free power at scale. Manufacturing economies drive costs below $60/MWh. International licensing — Romania first, then Canada, Eastern Europe, Asia — generates high-margin royalty streams. The company that today trades at $13 with a credibility crisis becomes a $30-50B infrastructure platform powering the AI economy. NuScale's regulatory head start, if paired with competent execution, is worth a decade of competitive advantage. That is a real possibility. But it requires the company to do what it has not yet done: build a reactor and deliver power.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.