Earnings Recap — Q2 FY2026
CY Q3 2026 · Reported July 30, 2026 · Beat 7 of last 7 quarters
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Exelon's results underscore the strain on the PJM grid from surging AI-driven load growth, with record demand and persistent capacity shortfalls. The company's pivot toward transmission, battery storage, and virtual power plants reflects the broader need for infrastructure investment to support data center expansion. Its disciplined approach to data center interconnections, using TSAs and collateral, signals a model for managing speculative demand in the AI buildout.
Exelon reported Q2 2026 adjusted operating earnings of $0.43 per share, up $0.04 year-over-year, driven by distribution and transmission rates, last year's Customer Relief Fund, and favorable weather at PECO, partially offset by higher credit loss expense at BGE and interest costs. The company reaffirmed full-year guidance and highlighted strong operational performance despite 16 major weather events at ComEd, with 90% of customers restored within 48 hours after a recent storm. Regulatory activity includes ongoing rate cases at Pepco Maryland, DPL Delaware, ComEd grid plan, and a new BGE filing, with decisions expected through 2027. Management emphasized the strain on PJM, citing record July demand of 168 GW, a third consecutive capacity auction at the price cap, and a growing supply shortfall. They also announced a 500 MW battery storage project in New Jersey and progress on virtual power plant programs across jurisdictions.
Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted operating EPS guidance of $2.81–$2.91 per share, targeting the midpoint or better, and reiterated long-term EPS growth near the top end of 5%–7% through 2029, supported by 7.9% annualized rate base growth. They expect Q3 earnings to be approximately 27% of the midpoint of full-year guidance, factoring in weather, storms, and the PECO employee strike. The company is advancing an all-of-the-above approach to address resource adequacy, including transmission expansion, battery storage (notably a 500 MW project in New Jersey), virtual power plants, and utility-owned generation where permitted. They continue to advocate for state-led resource planning and consumer protections, and remain disciplined on capital deployment, with approximately $10 billion of capital planned for 2026. Financing is largely derisked, with 86% of 2026 debt needs completed and 37% of planned equity needs through 2029 priced via forwards.
“The July heat event, auction results, and market price signals all point to the same conclusion: demand is growing faster than supply, and the system is under increasing strain.”
on Resource adequacy
“We are not waiting for the market to solve this on its own. We are bringing forward actionable solutions that strengthen reliability, improve affordability, and give our states more tools to shape their energy future.”
on All-of-the-above approach
“We have now weeded out speculative projects, and it gives us proactive insight into what is real.”
on Data center pipeline
PJM walked back from the EDC proposal. Do you feel where they landed meaningfully addresses key issues? Any plans to intervene further with FERC?
Calvin Butler applauded PJM's urgency but said measures may help near-term reliability, not long-term affordability. He reiterated the need for more generation and state-led resource planning, with utility-owned generation as a cost-effective complement. Jeanne Jones confirmed the 500 MW battery is not a one-off and they are working on others.
Your data center growth slide shows 36 GW, down from 43 GW. Is that a reclassification or refinement? Any read-through with PJM dysfunction?
Jeanne Jones explained the update reflects weeding out speculative projects via TSAs and collateral. The 11 GW reduction includes 4 GW with signed TSAs backed by $1 billion collateral and 7 GW of pre-TSA projects further along. The $41 billion capital plan remains unchanged, and they continue to study the remaining 25 GW.
Now a few months since withdrawing the PECO rate case, how do you think about filing again? Any inflection points you hope to see?
Calvin Butler noted constructive conversations with Governor Shapiro and his staff, and indicators Pennsylvania remains a solid regulatory framework. Michael Innocenzo added they are addressing stakeholder concerns on customer value, ROE transparency, and affordability, and feel confident they will file again productively.