HUT

Hut 8

Summary

What they do:

Hut 8 develops and operates AI data center infrastructure across 19 sites in North America, anchored by a 245MW River Bend campus in Louisiana leased to Fluidstack/Anthropic with Google financial backstop under a $7B, 15-year triple-net lease.

Why they matter:

HUT's 8.5GW development pipeline and $7B Anthropic/Google-backed contract make it the most aggressively expanding miner-to-AI-host operator, with the strongest counterparty backing in the layer (Google financial guarantee).

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $235.1M (+45% YoY), Q4 revenue $88.5M (+179% YoY), gross margin expanded to 60%; stock ~$66, market cap ~$8.0B. Net loss of $248M driven by $220M unrealized Bitcoin mark-to-market losses.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueFair

The most ambitious miner-to-AI-infrastructure pivot with an 8.5GW pipeline and Google-backed Anthropic lease, trading at a premium that reflects both the scale of the opportunity and the execution risk of converting a development pipeline 35x larger than current operational capacity.

Structural trends

Power scarcity as binding constrainthyperscaler capex arms raceBitcoin-to-AI pivotAnthropic's emergence as a top-3 AI lab driving independent infrastructure demand

Structural

65

/ 100

Moat

5/10

Pipeline Scale + Google Backstop

AI Exp.

High

~40% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~179% YoY

Rel. Value

34

FAIR

PriceLIVE

$71.74

+2.84%

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Market Cap

$8.0B

P/E Ratio

N/A

P/S Ratio

33.8x

52W High

$74.65

52W Low

$10.61

52W Chg

576.2%

Beta

5.71

Supply Chain Dependencies

The Catch

Hut 8's 8.5GW pipeline is aspirational until proven otherwise. Only 245MW is contracted — 97% of the development target has no tenant and no revenue. The market cap of ~$8.0B prices in significant pipeline conversion that hasn't happened yet. If the AI capex cycle moderates or competitors lock up available hyperscaler demand, Hut 8 risks being a one-contract company trading at 34x revenue. The Bitcoin exposure through American Bitcoin Corp adds unwanted earnings volatility that complicates the AI infrastructure narrative. And the $248M net loss, even if largely Bitcoin mark-to-market, means Hut 8 is burning cash during a period when it needs to fund billions in construction capex.

If They Win

If Hut 8 converts even 20% of its 8.5GW pipeline — roughly 1.7GW — into contracted AI infrastructure with counterparty quality comparable to the Google-backed Fluidstack deal, the company generates $4-5B in annual lease revenue with 60%+ gross margins. In this scenario, Hut 8 becomes the largest pure-play AI infrastructure platform in public markets, supporting a $30-50B enterprise value and attracting infrastructure-focused institutional capital. The River Bend campus alone, if expanded to its full 2.295GW potential, would be the single largest AI data center complex in the western hemisphere.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.