Earnings/Recap
TKRThe Timken Company

Earnings Recap — Q2 FY2026

CY Q3 2026 · Reported August 4, 2026 · Beat 5 of last 7 quarters

The Buildout is a website built on agentic AI tools, currently in beta, and could have factual errors.

Go to the full The Timken Company company page →
What this means for the buildout

Timken's strong quarter and raised guidance reflect broad industrial demand, with particular strength in automation and robotics, which is directly tied to the AI-driven factory automation buildout. The company's investments in aerospace and defense capacity and its focus on strategic verticals like data center-adjacent infrastructure position it to benefit from continued AI infrastructure spending. The belts divestiture and portfolio reshaping are expected to structurally improve margins, enhancing its ability to invest in growth areas.

Results vs consensus
EstimateActualvs est
Revenue$1.23B$1.26B+2.2%beat
EPS$1.62$1.83+13.0%beat
What was said

Timken delivered a strong second quarter with total revenue of $1.26 billion, up 7.5% YoY, and organic growth of 4.4% driven by higher volumes and pricing across both segments. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 19.6%, and adjusted EPS rose nearly 30% to $1.83, including a net $0.08 benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds. Industrial Motion posted record quarterly sales of $454 million, up 14.6%, with margins up 500 bps to 23.3%, while Engineered Bearings grew 4% to $807 million with margins up 30 bps to 20%. The company generated $107 million in operating cash flow and returned $45 million to shareholders. Management highlighted strong growth in aerospace and defense, automation and robotics (mid-teens growth), and infrastructure, while noting solar was a headwind in power and electrification.

Key metrics
Adjusted EPS
$1.83
Up ~30% YoY; beat consensus of $1.62
Total Revenue
$1.26B
Up 7.5% YoY; organic growth +4.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
19.6%
Up 190 bps YoY; organic incremental margins >40%
Industrial Motion Segment Sales
$454M
All-time quarterly record; up 14.6% YoY, organic +8%
Industrial Motion EBITDA Margin
23.3%
Up 500 bps YoY
Management outlook

Management raised full-year 2026 guidance across the board. Net sales are now expected to grow 5% to 6% (organic +3.5% at midpoint, up from +3%), and adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $6.05–$6.35, implying 16% growth at the midpoint (up from 13%). The company expects consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin of low 18% at the midpoint, up from 17.4% in 2025, and raised free cash flow guidance to $375–$400 million. Management noted continued robust order patterns but cited geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East) and normal seasonality for a more moderate second-half growth rate. They also highlighted strategic investments in aerospace and defense operations, expecting a $0.10 headwind in the second half from these investments and cost inflation. The belts divestiture remains on track to close in Q3, which is expected to structurally improve Industrial Motion margins by 200+ bps on a pro forma basis.

From the call

So we don't see any signs today of slowdown. So I think that's certainly the case here. We continue to see a robust order pattern. But I would call it robust. I would not call it a bounce back that you would have seen in prior cycles.

on Demand outlook

So it is clear that Bijur Delimon is a natural fit and scales our lubrication systems platforms to about $400 million in revenue.

on Acquisition integration

So we're betting on backlog that's sitting in our hands and -- number one. Number two, what I also don't want to overlook is we're up high single digits in aerospace and defense in Q2 of 2026.

on Aerospace investment rationale

What analysts asked

To start with your top line guidance and what's now contemplated in the back half. We know that 2H organic growth has now implied 2.5%, give or take, a step down from the first half. I was hoping you could offer a little more detail on that growth moderation amid what seems to be a pretty healthy demand backdrop. Have you seen any slowdown in your order book? Is the sequential change impact primarily by accelerating 80/20 rationalization? Or are you simply leaning conservative given geopolitical or other uncertainties?

Lucian Boldea said there are no signs of a slowdown, with a robust order pattern but not a bounce back. He cited geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East and normal seasonality for the back-half moderation. He noted strong order book growth in aerospace, automation, and infrastructure, and said the guide reflects July results and appropriate conservatism.

Just wanted to ask for a little more color on the robust order books or order intake so far in 3Q. Could you put a finer point or quantify that in any way, particularly on the Industrial Motion business? I'm curious if you're seeing those persist at kind of closer to double-digit levels and power and electrification, I think you mentioned solar as a bit of a headwind. Is that persisting as well?

Lucian Boldea said order rates were mostly stable sequentially, which is a good position given seasonality. He expects Q3 sales to be up in both segments, with Industrial Motion growing faster. Aerospace book-to-bill remains well above 1, and infrastructure and automation are expected to lead growth. Solar remains a headwind in power and electrification.

Can you just maybe unpack the like what you're expecting for pricing for the rest of the year? I know it added a little bit more than 1 point this quarter. And then also, as it relates to the tariff refunds, how much of the $8 million came in each segment?

Mike Discenza said tariff refunds were roughly 50-50 split between segments, with some contractual givebacks in bearings. Lucian Boldea said pricing is expected to be up more than 1% for the full year, exceeding tariff costs, and the recent tariff change to Section 301 is expected to be a wash. He noted pricing comps will be tougher in the second half.

Potential supply chain impact
GTESTimken's belts divestiture to Gates is on track to close in Q3, which could impact Timken's revenue mix and margins, and may signal a shift in Gates' product portfolio.
GTESGates is acquiring Timken's belts business, which could affect Timken's supply chain for belts-related products and potentially create a new supplier relationship.
GTESThe divestiture removes Timken from the belts market, reducing direct competition with Gates and potentially benefiting Gates' market position.