Earnings/Recap
ENBEnbridge Inc.

Earnings Recap — Q2 FY2026

CY Q3 2026 · Reported July 31, 2026 · Beat 5 of last 6 quarters

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What this means for the buildout

Enbridge's results underscore the accelerating demand for energy infrastructure to support AI-driven power growth, with gas transmission and utilities seeing record interest for data center and power generation capacity. The company's $41 billion backlog and $50 billion opportunity set position it as a key enabler of the AI infrastructure buildout, particularly in natural gas transportation and renewable power for hyperscalers like Meta.

Results vs consensus
EstimateActualvs est
Revenue$8.67B$15.36B+77.2%beat
EPS$0.43$0.46+7.0%beat
What was said

Enbridge delivered another strong quarter with adjusted EBITDA up over $130 million year-over-year, driven by higher volumes on the Mainline, Seaway, and Line 9, plus constructive rate case outcomes in Gas Transmission and Gas Distribution. The company began commissioning the Blackcomb pipeline, brought the Houston Oil Terminal into service, and sanctioned the Wisconsin Line 5 Relocation and Bay Runner Twin projects. They also signed an exclusive option to acquire the TTC Connector Pipeline, which will connect Tres Palacios storage to Freeport LNG. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance and highlighted a $41 billion secured backlog, with $9 billion of capital already sanctioned in 2026.

Key metrics
Adjusted EBITDA
$4.34B
Up over $130M YoY, driven by higher volumes across all four businesses
Mainline volumes
3.1M bpd
Strong Q2 volumes, consistent with prior year
Secured capital backlog
$41B
Up from $39B at year-end 2025, providing runway through the decade
Capital sanctioned in 2026
~$9B
Year-to-date, on track toward $20B target for 2026-27
Debt-to-EBITDA
5.1x
Above target range due to quarter-end FX; within 4.5-5.0x on an adjusted basis
Management outlook

Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance, citing strong utilization and favorable contracting tailwinds. They highlighted a generational growth opportunity across all four franchises, with a $41 billion secured backlog and a $50 billion organic opportunity set through 2030. They expect to sanction up to $20 billion of new projects in 2026-27. On MLO2, they are disaggregating and resequencing the project, prioritizing downstream Chicago South market access segments first, with upstream Mainline expansion to follow as producers finalize policy and FID production growth. They also noted the potential to add 100 basis points to enterprise return on capital employed through better build multiples and operating leverage.

From the call

There is a widening array of opportunities in front of all 4 core franchises at Enbridge, reflecting possibly the best environment for growth that we've had in recent memory.

on Growth environment

we are on MLO2, Rob, to your point specifically, is we're disaggregating and resequencing segments of our MLO2 path and we'll be now focusing on the Chicago South market access segments first.

on MLO2 resequencing

We've got studies that suggest, depending on how big this project is, it could save over $1 billion for utility customers a year in New England.

on Project Beacon

What analysts asked

Can you add color on what drove the MLO2 outcome and when we could see incremental clarity on timing and shape?

Greg and Colin explained that MLO2 is being disaggregated and resequenced, with the downstream Chicago South market access segments prioritized first. This is due to producers waiting for policy implementation before FIDing production growth. The downstream scope is simpler and yields better economics initially, with the upstream Mainline expansion to follow as needed.

What is the return on capital trajectory, and could we see upward pressure on the return threshold?

Greg said the company is targeting a 100 basis point improvement in return on capital employed across the enterprise, driven by better build multiples, operating leverage, and regulatory outcomes. He noted that brownfield projects and the ability to buy materials at scale are contributing to this improvement.

What has changed with MLO2, and how should we think about the balance sheet trajectory through 2027?

Greg attributed the delay to geopolitical volatility and the psychology of sanctioning large projects, while Colin noted the pace of policy implementation. Pat said leverage will stay near the top of the 4.5-5.0x range as projects come into service, but they have levers like hybrid capacity and asset sales to manage it.

Potential supply chain impact
METAEnbridge's partnership with Meta now spans 4 projects, with over 1.4 GW of solar and wind under construction and 1.6 GWh of battery storage, indicating continued demand for renewable power to support data centers.
ETEnergy Transfer is a partner on the SESH JV and a customer for Canadian crude egress; Enbridge's resequencing of MLO2 and focus on downstream expansions could impact timing of related capacity.
NEXTBay Runner Twin sanctioning supports Rio Grande LNG, indicating continued progress on LNG export infrastructure that could benefit NextDecade.
DDominion Energy sold its gas distribution operations to Enbridge; Enbridge's utility growth in North Carolina and other regions could reflect ongoing integration and expansion.
TSLATesla supplies battery systems for Enbridge's renewable projects, including Cowboy Phase 1; continued renewable buildout could drive additional orders.
PBAPembina competes with Enbridge for WCSB egress; Enbridge's MLO2 resequencing and focus on downstream expansions could shift competitive dynamics.