Earnings/Recap
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation

Earnings Recap — Q4 FY2026

CY Q3 2026 · Reported July 29, 2026 · Beat 7 of last 7 quarters

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What this means for the buildout

Microsoft's continued capacity expansion and efficiency gains underscore the sustained demand for AI infrastructure, with Azure growth accelerating to 43% and CapEx expected to grow again in FY27. The shift to usage-based pricing across Copilot and GitHub signals a maturing AI monetization model, while the extension of data center useful life to 25 years will impact depreciation and lease classification, potentially affecting industry benchmarks.

Results vs consensus
EstimateActualvs est
Revenue$87.62B$90.01B+2.7%beat
EPS$4.24$4.74+11.8%beat
What was said

Microsoft reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $90.0B, up 18% YoY, with operating income up 18% and EPS of $4.74 (up 23% adjusted for OpenAI investment). Azure growth accelerated to 43%, driven by efficiency gains and faster capacity deployment, while commercial RPO grew 84% to $678B. Microsoft Cloud revenue was $59.3B, up 27%, and the company added 31 data centers in the quarter, bringing the annual total to 88. M365 Copilot paid seats surpassed 30 million, and GitHub Copilot reached 50 million users, with usage-based billing driving consumption revenue.

Key metrics
Revenue
$90.0B
Up 18% YoY; above guidance and consensus
Azure growth
43%
Accelerated from prior quarter; Q1 FY27 guide ~45% CC
Commercial RPO
$678B
Up 84% YoY; 30% recognized in next 12 months
Capital expenditures
$41B
Includes higher component pricing; ~2/3 short-lived assets
M365 Copilot paid seats
30M+
Net seat adds more than doubled QoQ
Management outlook

Management guided Q1 FY27 revenue of $89.85B–$90.95B (16–17% growth) and Azure growth of ~45% in constant currency, with H1 growth expected to accelerate. Full-year FY27: double-digit revenue and operating income growth, operating margins down less than 1 point, and CapEx growing YoY to ~$175B (including lease reclassification impact from extending data center useful life from 15 to 25 years). They expect M365 Commercial cloud revenue growth to accelerate through the year on premium SKU momentum and usage-based billing, while Windows OEM/Devices revenue is expected to decline in the high teens due to PC market weakness. Demand continues to exceed supply, and management emphasized efficiency gains and capacity expansion as key levers.

From the call

All up, we added another gigawatt of capacity this quarter and remain on track to roughly double our overall capacity in just 2 years.

on Capacity expansion

Customer demand continues to exceed available capacity.

on Azure demand

We are very, very clear about the architectural sort of design of the platform, which is you've got to keep your harness separate from the model. When the harness will ensure that your memory, your context, all of that is external. That means any given model at any given time is swappable.

on Model choice and enterprise IP

What analysts asked

How material could traction be for open and custom models over the next year or two, and how does Microsoft benefit given its frontier lab exposure?

Satya emphasized that enterprises want to control their own destiny and keep their harness separate from models, making models swappable. Microsoft benefits by providing the platform (Azure) that delivers the right model for the right job, regardless of model choice.

Are we still in the same capacity-constrained environment, or is Microsoft just executing better?

Amy confirmed demand still exceeds supply, but highlighted efficiency gains in CPU/GPU fleets and process improvements that allowed faster monetization of new capacity in the quarter.

How does Microsoft protect itself if there is overcapacity, and how do you manage through hardware price increases?

Amy explained that a large portion of CapEx is short-lived assets (CPUs/GPUs) with flexible timing, and the diverse customer base provides flexibility. On pricing, they focus on efficiency gains and cloud ROI to offset component price increases.

Potential supply chain impact
AAOIMicrosoft's continued data center expansion and capacity growth could sustain demand for optical components, though AAOI's revenue concentration remains a risk.
AESMicrosoft's data center buildout and power needs could increase demand for AES's energy solutions, supporting its growth.
ALABMicrosoft's Azure M-Series VMs and memory expansion could drive adoption of Astera Labs' CXL memory controllers.
ANETMicrosoft's network infrastructure expansion for AI data centers could continue to benefit Arista, a long-standing 10%+ customer.
ARMMicrosoft's Cobalt ARM-based CPUs are expanding across data centers, potentially increasing demand for Arm-based silicon.
AMDMicrosoft plans to deploy AMD Helios rack-scale AI infrastructure, which could boost AMD's data center GPU revenue.