ANET

Arista Networks

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-05$0.82 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Builds the high-speed Ethernet switches that connect every GPU to every other GPU inside hyperscaler AI clusters — the network fabric sitting between servers that routes training and inference traffic at 400G to 800G per port, with 1.6T imminent — dominating Layer L15 of the AI infrastructure stack.

Why they matter:

AI training requires thousands of GPUs sharing data constantly, and idle GPUs waiting on slow networks are the most expensive wasted resource in computing. Arista's EOS software and 7800R spine switches are the default fabric inside Meta, Microsoft, and two other hyperscaler AI deployments, with switching costs measured in engineering years, not dollars.

Recent performance:

Q4 2025 revenue $2.49B (+28.9% YoY), beating the high end of guidance. Full year 2025 revenue $9.0B (+28.6%), operating margin 48.2%. First quarterly net income above $1B. 2026 guidance raised to $11.25B (+25% YoY) with AI networking at $3.25B.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEstablished
Rel. ValueAttractive

Dominant AI networking franchise with 48% operating margins, $3.25B AI revenue target doubling year-on-year, and EOS software lock-in at every major hyperscaler — but at ~40x forward earnings, the stock prices in strong execution, and customer concentration plus NVIDIA Spectrum-X competition bound the upside.

Structural trends

Ethernet displacing InfiniBand for AI back-end networkingswitch bandwidth doubling every ~2 years (800G to 1.6T)AI cluster scale-out driving non-linear switch demandnetwork software differentiation over commodity hardware

Structural

71

/ 100

Moat

8/10

EOS software lock-in + hyperscaler operational stickiness

AI Exp.

High

~45% AI

Play Type

Established

AI Growth

~40%+

Rel. Value

63

ATTRACTIVE

PriceLIVE

$154.37

+1.55%

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Market Cap

$194.4B

P/E Ratio

56.1

P/S Ratio

21.6x

52W High

$164.94

52W Low

$66.59

52W Chg

131.8%

Beta

1.48

The Catch

Arista's two largest customers together represent 36-40% of revenue, and four hyperscaler customers drive the vast majority of AI networking growth. If any one of these customers redirects AI networking spend toward NVIDIA's Spectrum-X (which bundles switching with GPU connectivity) or toward custom switch silicon, Arista's AI growth story decelerates at exactly the moment the $186B market cap prices in acceleration. The memory cost situation adds a near-term margin risk — Jayshree Ullal described current memory prices as "horrendous" and "an order of magnitude exponentially higher," and the company has already committed to price increases on memory-intensive SKUs. Unlike packaging or chip companies that face multi-year supply buildouts, Arista's risk is concentrated in customer decisions, not physical supply constraints.

If They Win

If Arista maintains hyperscaler switching dominance through the 1.6T transition, successfully defends against NVIDIA Spectrum-X, and diversifies to five or more hyperscaler-scale customers, they become the networking backbone of every AI data center on earth — the infrastructure that every GPU cluster runs on, with software lock-in, operational stickiness, and a growing share of the most capital-intensive buildout in technology history. The 800G-to-1.6T transition beginning in 2027 would drive a multi-year switch refresh cycle at higher ASPs, while campus and enterprise expansion to $1.25B+ provides a second growth engine less dependent on hyperscaler concentration. At 48% operating margins with zero debt and $10.7B cash, the financial model compounds at a rate few technology companies can match.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.