CRH plc (CRH) | The Buildout — AI Infrastructure
The Verdict
CRH owns mineral reserves and turns them into the materials a construction site is built from. It quarries and processes aggregates, makes cement and cementitious materials, and produces ready-mixed concrete and asphalt. It also makes value-added products that go underground and into buildings — drainage systems, enclosures, precast structures, hardscape. On a data-center site, management says CRH is often the first supplier in, laying subterranean water and energy infrastructure and stabilising the ground before the building goes up, then returning with aggregates, concrete and paving. That is the whole AI connection: the mass of the build, not chips, cooling or power.
| Market Cap | — |
| Revenue (TTM) | $40.0B |
| Revenue Growth | −2.6% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 24.1% |
| Net Debt | $16.8B |
| Earnings Beats | 2 of 7 |
| P/E (TTM) | — |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | — |
What We Like
- Guidance was held at both 2026 calls: FY2026 adjusted EBITDA of $8.1bn-$8.5bn, net income of $3.9bn-$4.1bn, diluted EPS of $5.60-$6.05, on capital expenditure of $2.8bn-$3.0bn.
- Q2 2026 was described as a record second quarter: revenue $10.8bn, up 6% year on year, adjusted EBITDA over $2.6bn, up 7%, and margin 30bps higher. Americas Materials Solutions revenue rose 10% and its adjusted EBITDA 12%.
- Data-center exposure moved from theme to count: 200 active U.S. data centers on two-to-three-year projects, 85% of announced U.S. data centers within 25 miles of a CRH facility, and 3 million tonnes of aggregates going into one East Texas job.
- The margin record is long. CRH delivered a 12th consecutive year of margin expansion in 2025 and expects a 13th in 2026, with approximately 110bps of average annual margin expansion and about 600bps of post-acquisition margin improvement within three years since 2018.
- Arcosa adds scale and shareholder returns continue: 35 million tonnes of annual aggregates for an enterprise value of about $8.5bn, with $175m of run-rate synergies by year three; $1.2bn returned to shareholders year-to-date and a quarterly dividend of $0.39 a share, up 5%.
What We’re Watching
- Americas Building Solutions became an explicit drag: Q2 revenue fell 2% and adjusted EBITDA fell 8% on divestitures, subdued new-build residential and elevated haulage costs. Management says the cost impact should moderate in Q3 and further in Q4 — a dated expectation to check.
- New-build residential recovery was pushed to "the back end of '27 at best", and cement pricing moved from low-single-digit improvement to broadly flat, with Q2 cement volumes down 2% and pricing down 1%.
- The share buyback is paused in connection with Arcosa, to be reevaluated "at a later date". The Arcosa deal still requires regulatory approvals and is expected to close in Q1 2027.
- No dollar figure exists for data-center revenue, EBITDA or backlog share — only proximity and project counts.
On the operating record the thesis reads as intact and modestly strengthening: guidance held twice, a record second quarter, a quantified data-center footprint, and a capital commitment in Arcosa that management says aligns with its 2030 targets. It is weaker on disclosure. The one number that would make the AI link financial rather than geographic has not been given, and the components that moved inside the held headline — cement pricing down, the buyback off, residential pushed out — all lean the wrong way. The open question is whether management ever sizes the data-center and reindustrialization exposure in dollars, or whether the story stays a proximity statistic.
Earnings
CRH reported record second-quarter revenue of $10.8bn, up 6% year on year, with gross margin of 39.8% and EBITDA of $2,627m — a 24.4% EBITDA margin. Management guided to adjusted EBITDA of over $2.6bn, up 7%, with margin 30bps higher despite adverse weather conditions and an inflationary cost environment.
| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | Q4 FY2025 | Q2 FY2024 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.8B | $11.1B | $6.1B | +77.3% |
| Gross margin | 39.8% | 38.9% | 27.7% | +1210bps |
| EBITDA | $2.6B | $2.8B | $388M | +577.1% |
| EPS | $2.22 | $2.23 | $0.15 | +1378.6% |
| Active U.S. data centers | 200 | n/a | n/a | — |
we're active right now on 200 data centers across the U.S. Now these are multiyear projects. For us, that kind of run from typically 2 to 3 years.— Jim Mintern, CEO, 2026-07-30
Management tone: Management came across as consistent and on-script on the multiyear story while candid about the soft spots, opening the guidance answer with the weather disruption before the reaffirmation. Several expectations moved between the two 2026 calls: cement pricing was lowered to broadly flat, the buyback was paused, the data-center discussion moved from one named project to a count of 200, and new-build residential recovery was pushed out to "the back end of '27 at best". The transcript read is that Q&A answers were largely direct, including on the weak ABS segment and on cement pricing. Where they were guarded: the size of data-center revenue, the dollar value of backlog, the timing of buyback resumption and Arcosa's pro-forma contribution.
Management Guidance
FY2026 guidance is unchanged from the prior call on adjusted EBITDA, net income, diluted EPS and capital expenditure. It assumes normal seasonal weather for the remainder of the year and no further major dislocation in the geopolitical or macroeconomic environment, and does not assume significant one-off or non-recurring items, including further changes to global trade policies, impairments or other unforeseen events. It is built on approximately $0.7bn of interest expense, net, an effective tax rate of approximately 24% and a year-to-date average of approximately 675 million diluted common shares. Management restated roughly $200m of net incremental scope EBITDA for 2026 and said the FX impact is expected to be negligible. The one component changed inside the held headline was cement pricing, now broadly flat rather than up low single digits.
Trajectory
The record is seasonal and lumpy, and the code-computed signals label the revenue trajectory as accelerating while margin trends expand on every line. Quarterly revenue ran $8,712m in the June 2025 quarter, $11,069m in the September 2025 quarter and $10,777m in the June 2026 quarter; EBITDA was $2,627m in the latest quarter against $2,086m a year earlier, a 24.4% margin versus 23.9%. The computed margin trends show gross margin up 120bps, operating margin up 120bps and EBITDA margin up 190bps. Cash conversion is the softer item: trailing-twelve-month free cash flow of $3,380m equals 64% of net income.
The Model
The model projects FY+1 revenue of $40,800m and EBITDA of $8,405m, a 20.6% margin, rising to FY+2 revenue of $45,300m and EBITDA of $9,513m, a 21.0% margin. Near term the anchor is management's held FY2026 guide of $8.1bn-$8.5bn adjusted EBITDA on $2.8bn-$3.0bn of capital expenditure, delivered on a second-half-weighted pattern. FY+2 leans on the drivers management names itself: mid-single-digit pricing across the business, reindustrialization and data-center work converting over two-to-three-year project cycles, and Arcosa, expected to close in Q1 2027 with $60m of synergies in the first year and $175m of run-rate synergies by year three.
| Metric | TTM | Next FY (E) | Following FY (E) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $40.0B | $40.8B | $45.3B |
| YoY Growth | — | +2.1% | +11.0% |
| EBITDA | $9.6B | $8.4B | $9.5B |
| EBITDA Margin | 24.1% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
Projections are the median of 5 independent model runs. The model’s revenue sits 8.1% above analyst consensus.
FY2026 guidance is unchanged from the prior call on adjusted EBITDA, net income, diluted EPS and capital expenditure. It assumes normal seasonal weather for the remainder of the year and no further major dislocation in the geopolitical or macroeconomic environment, and does not assume significant one-off or non-recurring items, including further changes to global trade policies, impairments or other unforeseen events. It is built on approximately $0.7bn of interest expense, net, an effective tax rate of approximately 24% and a year-to-date average of approximately 675 million diluted common shares. Management restated roughly $200m of net incremental scope EBITDA for 2026 and said the FX impact is expected to be negligible. The one component changed inside the held headline was cement pricing, now broadly flat rather than up low single digits.
What Could Go Right — and Wrong
- Management quantifies data-center or reindustrialization revenue or backlog share for the first time, making the exposure financial rather than geographic.
- The 200 active U.S. data-center projects convert on schedule across their two-to-three-year cycles, adding aggregates, cement, concrete and paving volumes.
- Arcosa closes in Q1 2027 and delivers on the $60m first-year and $175m run-rate synergy plan, adding 35 million tonnes of U.S. aggregates plus Dallas and Phoenix positions.
- Cement pricing returns to positive and new-build residential recovers earlier than the back end of 2027, unlocking ready-mix volume and price.
- Public funding holds: 40% of the IIJA remains unspent at year-end 2026 and the BUILD America Act's $580bn authorization, as currently written, passes without disrupting state lettings.
- Data-center work turns out to be a low-single-digit share of revenue and is never disclosed in dollars, leaving the AI narrative without a financial floor.
- Americas Building Solutions does not moderate in Q3 and Q4 as management expects, keeping adjusted EBITDA down 8% and pressuring the 13th consecutive year of margin expansion.
- Cement pricing stays flat or falls further while mid-single-digit cost inflation, elevated haulage rates and a 22% higher depreciation and amortisation charge outrun pricing.
- Residential recovery slips past the back end of 2027, deferring the ready-mix volume and price turn that management calls especially meaningful.
- Arcosa's close is delayed or its integration underdelivers against the roughly 600bps post-acquisition margin record, with the buyback still paused.
Looking Ahead
The next twelve months turn on three dated items from the source material. Q3 2026 results test whether the second-half weighting of the guidance lands on normal seasonal weather. The IIJA tail and the BUILD America Act reauthorization play out through H2 2026, with 40% of the IIJA expected still unspent at year-end 2026. And Arcosa is expected to close in Q1 2027 subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions, with Arcosa stockholders having approved the deal on 2026-09-04. Management has left the buyback paused until "a later date".
- Q3 2026Q3 2026 results — Tests whether the second-half weighting of FY2026 guidance lands.
- H2 2026BUILD America 250 reauthorization — Tests whether $580bn of highway funding advances as written.
- FY2026Full-year margin streak — Tests the 13th consecutive year of margin expansion.
- Q1 2027Arcosa acquisition close — Tests regulatory clearance and the stated close timetable.
- At a later dateBuyback reevaluation — Tests when share repurchases resume after the Arcosa pause.
Financials
Key Ratios (Trailing)
- P/E TTM—
- EV/EBITDA TTM—
- EV/Revenue TTM—
- Price/FCF TTM—
- Gross Margin (TTM)39.2%
- EBITDA Margin (TTM)24.1%
- Net Margin (TTM)13.3%
- ROIC14.5%
- FCF Conversion35.1%
- SBC / Revenue0.4%
The Company
CRH describes itself in its FY2025 Form 10-K as "the leading provider of building materials critical to modernizing infrastructure." In practice it owns mineral reserves — granite, limestone and sandstone — and processes them into aggregates, sand and gravel; makes cement from limestone; turns cement, aggregates and water into ready-mixed concrete; and binds aggregates with bitumen into asphalt. It also makes value-added products that connect and protect infrastructure: underground vaults, drainage systems, enclosures, modular precast structures, pavers, retaining walls and fencing. The company reports 83,032 people across 3,961 locations and says it produces over 380 million tonnes of aggregates a year, 230 million tonnes of that in North America.
CRH is vertically integrated by design. The aggregates and cementitious materials it quarries and makes feed its own concrete, asphalt and paving operations and increasingly its own products range; management calls this the connected portfolio. It reports in three segments: Americas Materials Solutions, Americas Building Solutions and International Solutions. Cementitious operating locations are listed in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, Ukraine, Romania, Slovakia, Australia and the Philippines, and management counts 2,000 locations across the U.S. The pending Arcosa acquisition would add 35 million tonnes of annual aggregates, taking combined U.S. annualized production to over 265 million tonnes.
Business Segments
Competitive Landscape
The source material frames CRH's competitive set through the filings of its peers rather than its own risk factors. Other publicly traded companies among the ten-largest U.S. aggregates producers include Arcosa, Amrize, Cemex, CRH, Heidelberg Materials, Knife River and Martin Marietta; Vulcan's filing lists Amrize, Cemex, CRH, Eagle Materials, Granite Construction, Heidelberg Materials, Martin Marietta and Construction Partners; Amrize's filing names Cemex, Buzzi-Unicem, Heidelberg Materials and CRH. Management's own case rests on scale and the connected portfolio: it says CRH together with Arcosa on a forecast 2026 basis would have adjusted EBITDA larger than the next four U.S. peers combined, and that it is difficult for anyone to match the complete product offering and the resulting share of wallet with hyperscalers.
- Martin Marietta (MLM)Reported data-center volumes up 90% and says more than 70% of planned U.S. data-center square footage is within 55 miles of its operations — a direct counter to CRH's proximity claim. Grew organic shipments 2.3% and total shipments 17% to 61.6m tons.
- Amrize (AMRZ)Grew aggregates volumes 6.5% and cement volumes 5% against CRH's +2% and -2% in the comparable period, and claims more than 90% reach to planned North American data centers.
- Vulcan Materials (VMC)Public awards up 20% in its markets and mix-adjusted pricing up 5%; characterises large projects as "slow and steady" rather than a step-change.
- Knife River (KNF)Working on 21 data centers and says it is a preferred vendor for a hyperscaler, with DOT budgets up 15%, roughly 80% diesel protection and more than 10% per-unit cost reduction.
- Heidelberg MaterialsNamed in filings; not discussed.
Supply Chain
CRH sits upstream of the contractors and hyperscalers building data centers, supplying the aggregates, cement, concrete and asphalt that go into site works and structures. No neighbor transcript names CRH directly, so the customer links below are inferred from shared end markets.
More on CRH: Earnings recap