CRWV

CoreWeave (IPO Mar 2025)

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-15$-0.86 consensus

Summary

What they do:

CoreWeave operates the largest independent GPU cloud platform, renting AI compute infrastructure to model developers, enterprises, and hyperscalers across 40+ data centers with 850MW of active capacity — the pure-play alternative to AWS, Azure, and GCP for GPU-intensive training and inference workloads.

Why they matter:

CRWV is the fastest cloud platform in history to reach $5B in annual revenue, with an $87.8B revenue backlog (40% Meta) and NVIDIA's strategic backing ($2B investment) — the independent GPU cloud that hyperscalers themselves rent from when their own capacity runs short.

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $5.1B (+170% YoY); Q4 2025 revenue $1.57B (+110% YoY); net loss $1.17B. Stock ~$117, market cap ~$61B. April 2026 deal blitz: Meta $21B expansion, Anthropic multi-year agreement, Jane Street $7B commitment ($6B cloud + $1B equity at $109/share).

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueCompelling

The purest public-market AI infrastructure bet — 100% GPU cloud with an $87.8B backlog converting at 170% revenue growth — but $21B in debt at 11% weighted average interest, NVIDIA single-supplier dependency, and 67% Microsoft revenue concentration in 2025 create execution risk that the $61B market cap assumes away.

Structural trends

GPU compute demand outstripping hyperscaler self-build capacityNVIDIA-preferred independent cloud as counterbalance to hyperscaler concentrationinference demand explosion driving recurring revenueAI capex arms race sustaining multi-year demand

Structural

66

/ 100

Moat

6/10

NVIDIA partnership + scale + backlog depth

AI Exp.

Pure Play

~100% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~170% YoY

Rel. Value

74

COMPELLING

PriceLIVE

$117.20

+6.28%

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Market Cap

$61.6B

P/E Ratio

N/A

P/S Ratio

12.0x

52W High

$187.00

52W Low

$33.52

52W Chg

249.7%

Beta

N/A

The Catch

CoreWeave's fundamental challenge is that it must grow faster than its debt compounds. At $21.4B in total debt carrying 11% weighted average interest, the company pays roughly $2.4B annually just to service its capital structure — nearly half of FY2025's $5.1B revenue. The $30-35B in planned 2026 capex will add more debt before revenue catches up. Meanwhile, the entire business rests on a single supplier (NVIDIA) whose pricing power can compress CoreWeave's margins at will, a single customer (Microsoft at 67% of 2025 revenue) whose purchasing decisions are existential, and an AI spending cycle that has quadrupled in three years and may not sustain this trajectory. CoreWeave is building the right infrastructure at the right time — but it is doing so with the most leveraged balance sheet in cloud history, leaving almost no margin for execution error.

If They Win

If CoreWeave converts its $87.8B backlog into recurring revenue, refinances its debt stack at lower rates, diversifies beyond Microsoft, and scales to 5+ GW of capacity by 2030, it becomes the fourth hyperscaler — the independent GPU cloud that sits alongside AWS, Azure, and GCP as a default platform for AI workloads. In this scenario, CoreWeave generates $25-30B in annual revenue with 65%+ gross margins and 20-30% operating margins, the NVIDIA partnership evolves into a durable co-dependent relationship (NVIDIA needs CoreWeave as much as CoreWeave needs NVIDIA), and the stock trades at $300-400 as the market values CoreWeave as a $150-200B cloud infrastructure company — the public market's purest expression of the AI infrastructure megatrend.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.