Earnings/Recap
FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.

Earnings Recap — Q2 FY2026

CY Q3 2026 · Reported July 23, 2026 · Beat 7 of last 7 quarters

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What this means for the buildout

Comfort Systems' record backlog and 58% technology revenue share underscore the sustained, accelerating pace of data center construction. The company's modular capacity expansion and strong cash generation signal continued investment in AI infrastructure, with hyperscaler demand showing no signs of slowing. Management's confidence in multiyear commitments from customers reinforces the durability of the AI buildout cycle.

Results vs consensus
EstimateActualvs est
Revenue$2.99B$3.27B+9.2%beat
EPS$10.45$12.53+19.9%beat
What was said

Comfort Systems reported record Q2 revenue of $3.3 billion, up 44% same-store, with EPS of $12.53, up 92% YoY. Backlog reached a record $14.1 billion, up 73% YoY, driven by strong technology sector bookings. Gross margin expanded to 25.9%, and free cash flow was $999 million. The company closed the acquisition of Hunt Electric on May 1, expected to contribute about $250 million in annualized revenue. Technology (data centers) accounted for 58% of revenue, up from 40% a year ago.

Key metrics
Revenue
$3.3B
First quarter ever above $3B; +$1.1B vs Q2 2025; same-store +44%
EPS
$12.53
+92% YoY from $6.53
Backlog
$14.1B
Record; +73% YoY, +13% sequentially; same-store +69% YoY
Gross Margin
25.9%
Up from 23.5% YoY; Mechanical 25.6%, Electrical 26.4%
Free Cash Flow
$999M
Approximately 2.5x net income; net cash position over $1.8B
Management outlook

Management raised full-year same-store revenue growth guidance to mid- to high 30% (from mid- to high 20% previously), citing strong demand and backlog. They expect gross margins to remain in the strong recent ranges, with full-year effective tax rate around 23%. CapEx is expected to be approximately 5% of revenue, driven by modular capacity expansion. Modular capacity is on track to reach 4 million square feet by year-end and about 5 million square feet by late summer 2027, with expansion tied to existing customer volume commitments. Management expressed optimism for the rest of 2026 and into 2027, noting no signs of demand slowdown from hyperscalers.

From the call

We had a fantastic quarter with amazing execution by our teams. This is the first time that our quarterly revenue has exceeded $3 billion.

on Record revenue

There is a very deep and calm certainty among these people that they're going to continue to build, that they absolutely need and have to do this building. And our goal -- so we see no let down whatsoever.

on Data center demand

We're not going to invest in buildings just on speculation. We expand when customers provide us meaningful multiyear commitments.

on Modular capacity expansion

What analysts asked

Can you help us understand the puts and takes to cash flow, how we should be looking at $1 billion of free cash flow in a single quarter and what that tells us about your cash flow prospects?

Bill George explained that the $1 billion free cash flow was about 2.5x earnings, driven by advanced cash from customers, excellent payment terms due to strong negotiating power, and overall healthy business. He noted there was no unique item, but it reflects customer satisfaction and strong performance.

How should we think about incremental CapEx associated with 1 million incremental square foot of modular capacity? And is that tied to an existing customer or new customers?

Bill George said CapEx guidance of 5% of revenue remains appropriate, with some flexibility on leasing vs. ownership. Trent McKenna added that expansion is only done with meaningful multiyear commitments from existing customers, and Brian Lane noted they are bullish on the industry long-term.

How much of the backlog increase was Modular this quarter? And is it unusual to have a larger Modular order in Q2?

Bill George stated Modular bookings were $510 million, covering their burn rate and adding $500 million net. He said nothing was unusual, just consistent demand, which is why they are adding capacity. Trent McKenna added they only take work they can perform, with disciplined labor planning.

Potential supply chain impact
ETNAs a major supplier of electrical components, Eaton could see increased demand from Comfort Systems' growing electrical segment and data center projects.
CARRCarrier, a key HVAC equipment manufacturer, may benefit from Comfort Systems' strong mechanical segment growth and data center cooling demand.
JCIJohnson Controls, a supplier of building systems, could see increased orders from Comfort Systems' expanding project pipeline.
EMEEMCOR, a direct competitor, may face competitive pressure as Comfort Systems continues to win large data center projects and expand capacity.
ECGEverus Construction, a competitor in construction services, could be impacted by Comfort Systems' strong backlog and market share gains.
AMRCAmeresco, a competitor in O&M services, may see competitive dynamics shift as Comfort Systems builds a large installed base of data centers, creating future service opportunities.