Vicor Corporation (VICR) | The Buildout — AI Infrastructure
The Verdict
Vicor designs and manufactures modular power components and power systems that convert electrical power. Its Advanced Products line implements Factorized Power Architecture, a proprietary approach that distributes power through individual components each optimized for one function. For the AI buildout, the key product is Vertical Power Delivery — the high-current, high-density conversion required at the point of load for advanced processors. Vicor also licenses its power-system intellectual property to OEMs and hyperscalers, and sells into industrial, aerospace and defense, and automotive markets. A legacy Brick Products line of integrated converters is being shrunk to free capacity.
| Market Cap | — |
| Revenue (TTM) | $474M |
| Revenue Growth | +11.7% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 23.1% |
| Net Cash | $446M |
| Earnings Beats | 6 of 7 |
| P/E (TTM) | — |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | — |
What We Like
- Advanced Products revenue rose 45% sequentially to $94.2M in Q2 2026, lifting its share of revenue to 65.7% from 57.5%.
- FY2026 revenue guidance was raised to over $600M from nearly $570M, after Q2 printed $143.4M against a prior guide of nearly $126M.
- Consolidated gross margin rose 280 basis points sequentially to 58%.
- One-year backlog rose 26% sequentially to $379.7M in Q2, after a 70% sequential rise to $300.6M in Q1.
- A new license closed in Q2 totaling $60M and contributing $15M of Q2 revenue, and management states long-term objectives of $2.5B revenue at 70% gross margin and 40% operating income.
What We’re Watching
- The existing fab is approaching capacity utilization, and the second fab management says is required for the $2.5B target is not expected to ramp until late 2027, 2028.
- FY2026 guidance assumes no new licensing agreements until the second ITC case reaches final determination in 2027, even though a Q2 license closed and a September 16 VPD license was announced.
- Royalty recognition steps down: Q2's $15M was lifted by termination clauses, and management expects $5M in Q3 before $10M per quarter for four quarters.
- The 10-K says Advanced Products revenue has historically come from one customer or a limited number of customers, and management declined to confirm specific concentration figures.
The demand side of the thesis strengthened this quarter: revenue rose sequentially, Advanced Products mix reached 65.7%, guidance was raised, and backlog kept building. The gates are unchanged — the first fab is nearing full utilization and the second fab does not ramp until late 2027 or 2028. The open question is whether the licensing pipeline runs ahead of the 2027 assumption still held in guidance; the September 16 VPD license tests that, but it is not quantified.
Earnings Beat
Q2 2026 product and royalty revenue was $143.4M, up 26.9% sequentially and 1.6% year over year; the prior-year quarter included a $45M patent litigation settlement. Consolidated gross margin rose 280 basis points sequentially to 58%. Advanced Products revenue rose 45% sequentially to $94.2M, or 65.7% of revenue. One-year backlog rose 26% sequentially to $379.7M.
| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | Q1 FY2026 | Q2 FY2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $143M | $113M | $141M | +1.7% |
| Gross margin | 58.0% | 55.2% | 65.3% | -730bps |
| EBITDA | $40M | $22M | $51M | −20.4% |
| EPS | $1.04 | $0.44 | $0.91 | +14.3% |
| Book-to-bill | Above 1 | Above 2 | n/a | — |
| One-year backlog | $379.7M | $300.6M | n/a | — |
No. That's definitely no. It's going to take a second fab to get that.— Patrizio Vinciarelli, CEO, 2026-07-21
Management tone: Management beat its own Q2 revenue guide of nearly $126M with $143.4M and raised FY2026 guidance, and the call tone was confident. It held a conservative licensing assumption in guidance even after a new license closed in Q2. Versus the prior quarter, it reframed the second-generation VPD production ramp from before end-2026 to late Q3 or Q4 2027, described the precise first-fab capacity ceiling as yet TBD, and declined to identify licensees or confirm customer concentration.
Management Guidance
Management guided Q3 2026 revenue up nearly 10% sequentially and raised FY2026 revenue to over $600M from nearly $570M. It plans double-digit sequential increases in product revenue for Advanced Products and expects margin expansion as utilization and absorption rise. The most recent license is expected to contribute $5M in Q3 and $10M per quarter for the following four quarters, against a $60M total. The guidance assumes no new licensing agreements until the second ITC case reaches final determination in 2027.
Trajectory
Revenue went from $113.0M in Q1 2026, up 5.3% sequentially, to $143.4M in Q2, up 26.9% sequentially. The rotation is inside the mix: Advanced Products rose 45% sequentially to $94.2M while Brick Products rose 2.4%, and Advanced share went from 57.5% to 65.7%. Consolidated gross margin rose 280 basis points sequentially to 58% from 55.2%. Mix and higher royalty revenue — described as nearly 100% margin — explain much of that, while management says product gross margin was pressured by a one-time first-fab equipment move.
The Model
The model projects FY+1 revenue of $610.0M and EBITDA of $171M, a 28.1% margin, and FY+2 revenue of $927.7M and EBITDA of $316M, a 34.1% margin. The near term anchors on the raised FY2026 guidance, the royalty schedule of $5M in Q3 then $10M per quarter for four quarters, and double-digit sequential product growth in Advanced Products. The FY+2 step-up depends on second-generation VPD production ramps framed for late Q3 or Q4 2027 and on the second fab, which does not ramp until late 2027 or 2028.
| Metric | FY2025 | Next FY (E) | Following FY (E) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $453M | $610M | $928M |
| YoY Growth | — | +34.7% | +52.1% |
| EBITDA | $103M | $171M | $316M |
| EBITDA Margin | 22.7% | 28.1% | 34.1% |
Projections are the median of 5 independent model runs. The model’s revenue sits 3.3% below analyst consensus.
Management guided Q3 2026 revenue up nearly 10% sequentially and raised FY2026 revenue to over $600M from nearly $570M. It plans double-digit sequential increases in product revenue for Advanced Products and expects margin expansion as utilization and absorption rise. The most recent license is expected to contribute $5M in Q3 and $10M per quarter for the following four quarters, against a $60M total. The guidance assumes no new licensing agreements until the second ITC case reaches final determination in 2027.
What Could Go Right — and Wrong
- Advanced Products keeps growing double digits sequentially, lifting its share of revenue further.
- Second-generation VPD design wins with a hyperscaler and a couple of OEMs convert into production ramps in late 2027.
- New licensing deals close ahead of the 2027 assumption embedded in guidance.
- Consolidated gross margin keeps expanding toward the stated 70% long-term objective.
- New overseas automated test entrants and industrial and defense product introductions broaden the customer base beyond the lead customer.
- The second fab is delayed or costs more than disclosed, pushing the $2.5B model out.
- The first fab stays capacity-constrained and forces Vicor to turn away revenue.
- Product gross margin stays pressured by build-out and reconfiguration costs.
- Customers or hyperscalers standardize on alternative architectures such as integrated voltage regulators or 800-volt-to-6-volt designs.
- Licensing plateaus after the current $60M agreement, or the second ITC final determination slips.
Looking Ahead
Over the next 12 months the tests are revenue conversion, royalty timing, and capacity. Management guided Q3 2026 revenue up nearly 10% sequentially and FY2026 revenue over $600M, and plans double-digit sequential product growth in Advanced Products. Selected-customer engagement with second-generation VPD development systems and tools starts in Q3 2026, with production ramps framed for late 2027. The second fab is being built after two properties were purchased in September 2026, but it does not ramp until late 2027 or 2028.
- Q3 2026Q3 2026 results — Tests guidance for revenue up nearly 10% sequentially.
- Q3 2026Royalty step-down — Recent license royalty falls to $5M from $15M in Q2.
- Q3 2026Gen 2 VPD engagement — Selected customers get development systems and tools.
- 2027Second ITC determination — Final determination gates the timing for new licenses.
- Late Q3/Q4 2027Gen 2 VPD production ramps — Ramps with a hyperscaler and a couple of OEMs.
- Late 2027/2028Second fab ramp — Second fab comes online; expands capacity.
Financials
Annual Summary
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $359M | $453M | $474M | +26.0% |
| Gross Margin | 51.3% | 56.4% | 56.6% | +508bps |
| EBITDA | $17M | $103M | $110M | +493.1% |
| EBITDA Margin | 4.8% | 22.7% | 23.1% | +1,785bps |
| Net Income | $6M | $118M | $145M | +1842.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $27M | $119M | $51M | — |
| Net Cash | — | — | — | — |
Key Ratios (Trailing)
- P/E TTM—
- EV/EBITDA TTM—
- EV/Revenue TTM—
- Price/FCF TTM—
- Gross Margin (TTM)56.6%
- EBITDA Margin (TTM)23.1%
- Net Margin (TTM)30.6%
- ROIC18.0%
- FCF Conversion46.9%
- SBC / Revenue3.6%
The Company
Vicor designs, develops, manufactures, and markets modular power components and power systems that convert electrical power. Its Advanced Products line implements Factorized Power Architecture, a proprietary approach to distributing power through individual components each optimized to perform a specific function, and includes the PRM regulator, the VTM current multiplier, and modular current driver and multiplier units. Its AI role is Vertical Power Delivery for high-current processors, plus licensing its power-system intellectual property to OEMs and hyperscalers. A second line, Brick Products, is integrated power converters sold into conventional architectures; management treats it as legacy and aims to minimize its footprint.
Vicor runs a vertically integrated chip fab at its Andover, Massachusetts complex, a roughly 320,000-square-foot owned manufacturing building that houses all Massachusetts manufacturing activities, alongside a roughly 90,000-square-foot owned office. It also owns a roughly 31,000-square-foot Sunnyvale, California industrial building leased long-term to a corporate tenant. It sells through four authorized stocking distributors — Arrow Electronics, Digi-Key, Avnet Electronics, and Mouser Electronics — and describes a set of 100 customers across four markets: HPC, industrial, automotive, and aerospace and defense. Advanced Products mostly go direct or through contract manufacturers, while the distributor channel remains Brick-weighted.
Business Segments
Competitive Landscape
Management positions its second-generation Vertical Power Delivery as ahead of generation-one VPD and integrated voltage regulator alternatives, saying competitors are challenged to deliver on current gain and current density and that generation-one solutions are barely above 1 amp per square millimeter. It says the industry has no solution for projected requirements, while also acknowledging that IVRs offer flexibility and that Vicor could supply a building block for them. Vicor's filings do not name competitors, and no neighbor in the source material names Vicor.
- Listed in the unverified generated relationship map with an Empower Crescendo IVR; not discussed in the filings or calls.
- InfineonListed in the unverified generated relationship map with VPD solutions in a partnership with Delta.
- DeltaListed in the unverified generated relationship map with VPD solutions in a partnership with Infineon, and also tagged as a customer for an IP license for NBM patents.
- Monolithic PowerListed in the unverified generated relationship map; not discussed in the filings or calls.
Supply Chain
Vicor buys advanced semiconductor devices from wafer foundries and packaging partners, then sells power modules to AI, industrial, and defense systems makers. It owns its Andover fab but depends on unnamed foundries and packaging suppliers.
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