ON

ON Semiconductor

Q1 FY2026 earnings · 2026-05-04$0.62 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Designs and manufactures silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors, power management ICs, and analog/mixed-signal devices — the components that regulate voltage, convert power, and manage energy efficiency across automotive, industrial, and data center applications.

Why they matter:

SiC is the enabling material for high-efficiency power conversion in EVs and increasingly in AI data centers. ON Semi (onsemi) is the second-largest SiC supplier globally, and its expansion into AI data center power — where SiC devices improve PSU efficiency from ~92% (silicon) to ~96%+ — positions it at the intersection of two secular growth curves. The company's deliberate pivot away from $300M in non-core revenue signals a strategic bet on higher-margin, higher-growth end markets.

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $6.0B. Q4 revenue $1.53B, EPS $0.64 (beat by $0.02). AI data center revenue >$250M in 2025, growing high teens. Q1 2026 guided $1.44-1.54B. Stock ~$83, market cap ~$35B. Up ~150% from 52-week low of $33.20.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEmerging
Rel. ValueCompelling

SiC power semiconductor leader undergoing a deliberate margin-focused transformation — exiting $300M in non-core revenue to concentrate on automotive SiC and AI data center power, where efficiency requirements favor wide-bandgap materials, but the cyclical automotive exposure and SiC commoditization risk keep this as a "prove it" story at 12x forward P/E.

Structural trends

SiC adoption curve in EVs and data centers48V power architecture transitionAI server power density escalationautomotive 800V platform migrationreshoring semiconductor manufacturing (CHIPS Act)

Structural

51

/ 100

Moat

5/10

SiC expansion

AI Exp.

Embedded

~20% AI

Play Type

Emerging

AI Growth

~18-22%

Rel. Value

76

COMPELLING

PriceLIVE

$72.05

+1.45%

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Market Cap

$28.4B

P/E Ratio

248.4

P/S Ratio

4.7x

52W High

$73.76

52W Low

$32.85

52W Chg

119.3%

Beta

1.52

Supply Chain Dependencies

The Catch

Onsemi is a SiC power semiconductor company that is 55-60% exposed to automotive production cycles in a period where auto replenishment hasn't started, competing against Infineon and STMicroelectronics (both of which have larger R&D budgets and broader automotive product portfolios), while simultaneously executing a $300M non-core revenue exit that temporarily shrinks the top line. SiC technology is commoditizing — the material advantage that once justified premium pricing is eroding as every major power semiconductor company scales SiC production. The AI data center opportunity is real but still represents only ~4% of total revenue, and hyperscalers have multiple SiC and GaN suppliers to choose from. Wolfspeed's emergence from Chapter 11 adds a reinvigorated competitor with new financial backing. And the stock's recovery from $33 to $83 — up ~150% — means the easy money in the cyclical rebound trade has already been made.

If They Win

If onsemi's strategic transformation fully delivers — automotive SiC content growth doubles as 800V platforms proliferate, AI data center SiC scales from $250M to $1B+ as hyperscaler PSU upgrades adopt wide-bandgap semiconductors, and the non-core exit creates a permanently higher-margin business — then onsemi becomes the SiC power franchise for the electrification era: the company whose devices sit inside every EV drivetrain and every AI server power supply, converting power with 96%+ efficiency where silicon can only manage 92%. Revenue compounds to $8B+ by 2028, gross margins expand to 45%+ on favorable SiC mix, and the company generates $2B+ in annual free cash flow. At that point, onsemi isn't a cyclical semiconductor stock — it's a structural compounder in the power semiconductor chain, warranting a re-rating from ~12x to 20x+ forward earnings and a path to $60B+ market cap.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.