DELL

Dell Technologies

Q1 FY2027 earnings · 2026-05-28$2.97 consensus

Summary

What they do:

Assembles and sells enterprise servers, storage, and networking infrastructure — the last-mile integrator between chip makers (NVIDIA, AMD, Intel) and enterprise data centers, with PowerEdge AI servers as the fastest-growing product line.

Why they matter:

Enterprise CIOs don't buy loose GPUs — they buy integrated, supported systems with financing and 24/7 service contracts. Dell owns those relationships at scale with millions of deployed servers globally, and closed $64B in AI server orders in FY2026 alone.

Recent performance:

FY2026 (ended Jan 2026) revenue $113.5B (+19% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $10.30 (+27%). Q4 ISG revenue $19.6B (+73% YoY), AI-optimized server revenue $9.0B (+342% YoY). Stock ~$195, market cap ~$131B. FY2027 guidance: 23% revenue growth, 25% non-GAAP EPS growth.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEstablished
Rel. ValueAttractive

The enterprise gateway to AI infrastructure — not the cheapest server assembler, but the one CIOs trust to deploy, finance, and support GPU-dense workloads at scale, with a $43B AI backlog providing multi-quarter visibility into a business that is still accelerating.

Structural trends

Enterprise AI adoption wave lagging hyperscalers by 12-18 monthsGPU server ASP inflation driving ISG revenue mix shiftAI factory buildout creating multi-year demand cyclesovereign AI infrastructure programs globally

Structural

59

/ 100

Moat

6/10

Enterprise relationships, global support infrastructure, and financing capability — not technology differentiation

AI Exp.

High

~35% AI

Play Type

Established

AI Growth

~100%+

Rel. Value

68

ATTRACTIVE

PriceLIVE

$184.51

-2.78%

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Market Cap

$122.3B

P/E Ratio

21.9

P/S Ratio

1.1x

52W High

$191.37

52W Low

$80.74

52W Chg

128.5%

Beta

0.95

The Catch

Dell's AI server business is growing at 150%+ but at structurally lower margins than the traditional server business it's cannibalizing. GPUs represent 60-70% of the bill of materials, and NVIDIA captures most of the value — Dell's role is assembly, integration, and support, which commands 15-20% gross margin versus 30%+ for traditional servers. As AI becomes the majority of ISG revenue, Dell's blended margins compress even as the top line surges. This is the "revenue trap" — the stock looks cheap on revenue growth but expensive on earnings growth. Meanwhile, NVIDIA controls GPU allocation, meaning Dell's AI server revenue is ultimately gated by a supplier's willingness to allocate, not Dell's ability to sell. If NVIDIA ever decides to favor hyperscaler direct relationships over branded server vendors, Dell's AI growth story evaporates regardless of enterprise demand.

If They Win

If Dell successfully converts the $43B AI backlog, expands AI server margins through services attach, and locks in enterprise customers during the critical 2026-2028 adoption wave, the company transforms from a low-growth IT conglomerate into the enterprise standard for AI infrastructure — the way it was the enterprise standard for x86 servers in the 2000s. Revenue exceeds $160B by FY2028. ISG margins stabilize at 25%+ as services and support revenue scales on top of hardware. The financing arm becomes a competitive moat that no pure server vendor can replicate. And the installed base of AI servers creates a decade-long services annuity — every GPU server deployed today needs cooling maintenance, firmware updates, and eventual refresh. At that scale, Dell re-rates from 19x to 25x forward earnings, driven by the same durability premium the market gives Accenture or IBM's consulting business.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.