LFUS

Littelfuse

Summary

What they do:

Design, manufacture, and sell circuit protection devices, power control components, and sensing products — fuses, TVS diodes, varistors, MOSFETs, IGBTs, SiC modules, relays, and sensors — used across data centers, EVs, industrial automation, grid infrastructure, and consumer electronics. Acquired Basler Electric in December 2025 for ~$350M to expand grid, power generation, and data center capabilities.

Why they matter:

Every server rack, power shelf, and PDU in an AI data center requires overcurrent protection, transient voltage suppression, and power semiconductor components — Littelfuse supplies all of these. Data center is now double-digit percent of revenue (inclusive of Basler) per CFO disclosure on Q4 call. Design wins more than doubled in 2025, and content opportunity on next-gen high-voltage architectures (400-800V DC) is "at least 2x and in some cases significantly more." FY2025 revenue $2.39B (+9% YoY), with Electronics segment up 13% (Q4 up 21%).

Recent performance:

FY2025 revenue $2.39B, adjusted EBITDA margin 20.9% (+260bps YoY), adjusted EPS $10.68. Q4 revenue $594M (+12% YoY). Guided Q1 2026 $625–645M (double-digit growth). Basler adds ~$130M revenue in 2026. Stock ~$389, market cap ~$8.4B. Investor Day May 14, 2026.

Our Verdict

Play TypeEstablished
Rel. ValueCompelling

The broadest circuit protection and power component franchise serving AI data centers with doubling design wins, 48V rack-level content expansion, and the Basler Electric acquisition strengthening grid and power generation exposure — but at ~3.5x trailing revenue and ~35x adjusted P/E, the data center narrative is real but still a minority of a diversified industrial electronics business.

Structural trends

AI data center power density increasing48V power architecture adoptiongrid infrastructure investmentEV electrificationindustrial automationSiC/GaN power semiconductor transition

Structural

53

/ 100

Moat

5/10

Broadest circuit protection portfolio, leading fuse/TVS positions, but commodity products and discrete power competition

AI Exp.

Embedded

~12% AI

Play Type

Established

AI Growth

~25%

Rel. Value

78

COMPELLING

The Catch

Littelfuse's data center story is real and now quantified — DC is "double digits as a percent of revenue inclusive of Basler" per the Q4 call, growing "strong double digits," with content opportunity >2x on next-gen 400-800V architectures. The rest of the business is diversified industrial electronics exposed to automotive, HVAC, and industrial cycles. The $301M goodwill impairment on the Semiconductor product line signals that competing against Infineon, onsemi, and STMicro in discrete power is structurally difficult. At ~$389 near all-time highs and ~35x adjusted P/E, the stock prices in both cyclical recovery and the data center narrative — leaving limited room for disappointment.

If They Win

If 48V data center architecture becomes universal by 2028, Littelfuse captures 2x+ protection content per rack across the hyperscaler buildout, SiC power modules ramp for EVs and industrial drives, Basler Electric integrates smoothly and accelerates grid/power generation revenue, and the broader automotive and industrial cycles recover, Littelfuse grows to a $3.5B+ revenue company with 24%+ EBITDA margins. The stock re-rates from an industrial compounder (~20x P/E) to a data center infrastructure play (~25x P/E), reaching $550–600.

Not financial advice. All scores generated via AI algorithms using public data.